2024-2025 Preseason CFB Conference Projections


As we gear up for the 2024-2025 FBS college football season, excitement and anticipation fill the air. Each year brings new hopes, challenges, and opportunities for teams across the nation to showcase their talent and compete for glory. In this blog post, we will delve into each conference, providing a detailed analysis of the teams and our projections for the season. We’ll break down each team’s predicted performance, highlighting key statistics and insights that will shape the upcoming season.

Husky Stadium

1. Southeastern Conference (SEC)

The SEC remains a battleground with Georgia and Texas leading the pack, both showing impressive offensive and defensive capabilities. Georgia is projected to top the conference and the nation with a robust performance, while Texas is close on their heels. LSU and Missouri are expected to be strong contenders, with solid all-around performances. Traditional powerhouses like Alabama and new entrants like Oklahoma are also poised to make significant impacts.

Despite these competitive teams, there are others like Vanderbilt and Mississippi State who face uphill battles with significant areas for improvement. Overall, the SEC is set for another thrilling season with fierce competition and standout performances across the board.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Georgia 6.6 1.4 34.9 18.5
2 Texas 6.5 1.5 34.7 18.5
3 LSU 5.5 2.5 33.5 25.8
4 Missouri 5.4 2.6 30.6 22.9
5 Mississippi 5 3 30.8 25.4
6 Tennessee 5 3 29.6 24.6
7 Alabama 5 3 29.5 24.1
8 Texas A&M 4.9 3.1 28.7 24.5
9 Oklahoma 4.2 3.8 29.9 28.3
10 Auburn 4 4 26.5 25.6
11 Kentucky 3 5 23.1 28.6
12 South Carolina 2.8 5.2 24.9 29.7
13 Florida 2.6 5.4 22.8 30.8
14 Arkansas 1.7 6.3 20.6 32.7
15 Mississippi St 1.3 6.7 17.1 33.6
16 Vanderbilt 0.6 7.4 16.0 38.3

2. Big 12 Conference

The Big 12 Conference is expected to see intense competition this season, with Utah and Kansas State leading the charge. Utah is projected to top the conference, thanks to a solid defense and a balanced offensive attack. Kansas State follows closely.

Oklahoma State is also in the mix with strong overall metrics, particularly on offense. Meanwhile, teams like Arizona, TCU, and Iowa State are expected to be competitive, each showing the potential to challenge the top teams.

The middle of the pack includes UCF, West Virginia, and Texas Tech, all of which have balanced teams but will need to find consistency to climb higher in the standings. Colorado, Baylor, and Cincinnati will aim to improve upon their defensive vulnerabilities to make a stronger push.

Overall, the Big 12 is set for a dynamic season with several teams capable of making a significant impact and challenging for the top spots. Fans can expect high-scoring games and thrilling matchups throughout the conference schedule.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Utah 6.4 2.6 28.9 21.3
2 Kansas St 6.3 2.7 30.8 23.2
3 Kansas 5.8 3.2 30.7 25.8
4 Oklahoma St 5.9 3.1 30.0 24.3
5 Arizona 4.2 4.8 26.9 28.5
6 TCU 5.1 3.9 29.5 27.6
7 Iowa St 4.7 4.3 25.1 24.7
8 UCF 4.9 4.1 28.4 27.5
9 West Virginia 4.5 4.5 27.1 27.0
10 Texas Tech 4.4 4.6 27.4 28.3
11 Colorado 4.2 4.8 28.2 29.2
12 Baylor 3.6 5.4 26.2 28.9
13 Cincinnati 3.5 5.5 25.1 28.4
14 Arizona St 2.9 6.1 23.1 29.2
15 BYU 3.1 5.9 23.5 29.0
16 Houston 2.4 6.6 23.0 31.3

3. Big Ten Conference

Ohio State and Oregon are projected to lead the Big Ten with the best records and highest rated teams. Penn State and USC also stand out as significant contenders, bringing strong offenses and competitive defenses to the table.

Mid-tier teams like Iowa and Nebraska are expected to have solid seasons but will need to find consistency to challenge the top teams. The lower half of the standings, including teams like Indiana, Washington, and Michigan State, will need to address key areas to improve their competitiveness.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Ohio St 7.8 1.2 33.6 14.7
2 Oregon 7.8 1.2 37.0 18.9
3 Penn St 6.7 2.3 30.2 19.1
4 USC 6 3 31.6 26.1
5 Michigan 5.1 3.9 25.5 24.6
6 Iowa 5.1 3.9 20.6 18.6
7 Nebraska 4.7 4.3 21.5 21.5
8 Wisconsin 4.4 4.6 22.9 23.7
9 UCLA 4 5 24.1 27.0
10 Maryland 3.9 5.1 22.0 26.8
11 Rutgers 3.9 5.1 21.3 24.2
12 Illinois 3.5 5.5 20.6 25.3
13 Minnesota 3.5 5.5 21.2 25.0
14 Purdue 3.3 5.7 20.8 27.5
15 Indiana 3.2 5.8 21.0 27.4
16 Washington 2.9 6.1 24.2 31.7
17 Michigan St 2.7 6.3 18.4 27.4
18 Northwestern 2.5 6.5 18.6 27.1

4. Pac-12 Conference

Not much to report here with the extremely depleted Pac-12 conference. We expect Washington State to win 7.4 games and Oregon State to win 6.73 games.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Washington St 0.0 0.5 0 0
2 Oregon St 0.0 0.0 0 0

5. Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC)

The ACC is led by Clemson, with a predicted 6.6 conference wins and a top defensive rating. Florida State and Miami FL also project strong seasons. Mid-tier teams like Louisville and NC State show potential, while others, such as Virginia Tech and North Carolina, face more challenges. The ACC promises a competitive season with standout performances expected from the top teams.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Clemson 6.6 1.4 32.8 17.1
2 Miami FL 6.2 1.8 31.1 19.3
3 Florida St 5.7 2.3 31.2 21.7
4 Louisville 5.5 2.5 29.4 21.6
5 NC State 5.2 2.8 27.6 22.2
6 SMU 5.1 2.9 29.7 23.9
7 North Carolina 4.6 3.4 28.2 26.2
8 Virginia Tech 4.5 3.5 20.8 35.5
9 Syracuse 4.3 3.7 29.7 23.9
10 California 2.9 5.1 29.7 23.9
11 Duke 2.8 5.2 22.0 31.5
12 Georgia Tech 2.8 5.2 27.2 27.7
13 Virginia 2.7 5.3 29.8 26.5
14 Wake Forest 2.6 5.4 32.1 24.0
15 Pittsburgh 2.5 5.5 20.6 28.5
16 Boston College 2.1 5.9 31.2 27.5
17 Stanford 1.9 6.1 29.7 23.9

6. American Athletic Conference (ACC)

The AAC sees Memphis leading the pack with a projected 6.3 conference wins. UT San Antonio and South Florida follow closely. Mid-tier teams like Tulane and East Carolina show potential, while others, such as Tulsa and Temple, face more challenges. The AAC promises a competitive season with standout performances expected from the top teams.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Memphis 6.3 1.7 35.9 22.4
2 UT San Antonio 6.2 1.8 34.0 22.2
3 South Florida 5.7 2.3 33.4 24.9
4 Tulane 5.3 2.7 30.2 24.4
5 East Carolina 4.6 3.4 25.7 22.9
6 North Texas 3.8 4.2 28.9 30.7
7 UAB 3.7 4.3 27.5 29.7
8 Army 3.3 4.7 23.9 27.0
9 FL Atlantic 3.2 4.8 24.7 28.5
10 Navy 3.1 4.9 22.9 27.1
11 Rice 3 5 24.4 29.2
12 Tulsa 2.8 5.2 24.9 30.7
13 Charlotte 2.5 5.5 21.7 29.3
14 Temple 2.3 5.7 22.8 32.0

7. Sun Belt Conference

The Sun Belt is our 7th strongest conference this year with Appalachian State as the best-rated team.

Sun Belt East Division

Appalachian State leads the Sun Belt East Division with a projected 6.0 conference wins. James Madison and Georgia Southern follow. Mid-tier teams like Coastal Carolina and Marshall show potential, while others, such as Old Dominion and Georgia State, face more challenges. The Sun Belt East promises a competitive season with standout performances expected from the top teams.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Appalachian St 6 2 32.4 23.1
2 James Madison 5.4 2.6 29.7 23.3
3 Ga Southern 4.1 3.9 28.8 28.6
4 Coastal Car 3.9 4.1 27.1 27.4
5 Marshall 3.6 4.4 25.2 27.2
6 Old Dominion 2.9 5.1 24.9 29.7
7 Georgia St 2.3 5.7 24.4 32.4

Sun Belt West Division

The Sun Belt West Division sees Texas State at the forefront with a projected 5.5 conference wins. Arkansas State and South Alabama are in close contention. Louisiana and Troy are positioned in the middle, showing promise but facing tough competition. Southern Miss and ULM have significant challenges ahead. The division is set for a season of intense battles and exciting matchups.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Texas St 5.5 2.5 31.9 25.5
2 Arkansas St 4.7 3.3 29.1 25.8
3 South Alabama 4.2 3.8 27.1 26.3
4 Louisiana 4.7 3.3 28.9 26.1
5 Troy 3.6 4.4 25.3 26.6
6 Southern Miss 3.3 4.7 25.0 27.9
7 ULM 1.8 6.2 21.6 31.8

8. Mountain West Conference (MWC)

The Mountain West Conference has shifted to a single, unified league this season. Boise State is predicted to lead the conference with 6.0 wins, showcasing strong offensive and defensive capabilities. Fresno State and UNLV are expected to be competitive, while Wyoming and Colorado State are positioned in the middle tier. Teams like Hawaii, San Jose State, New Mexico, and Nevada face tougher challenges and are projected to be at the lower end of the standings.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Boise St 6 1 35.8 18.1
2 Fresno St 5.3 1.7 31.9 20.5
3 UNLV 4.8 2.2 31.4 23.2
4 Wyoming 3.9 3.1 25.4 23.8
5 Colorado St 4 3 27.2 25.0
6 Air Force 3.4 3.6 23.8 23.8
7 Utah St 3.8 3.2 27.6 27.3
8 San Diego St 3.2 3.8 24.5 25.7
9 Hawaii 2.4 4.6 23.1 30.6
10 San Jose St 2 5 22.1 31.2
11 New Mexico 1.8 5.2 22.0 30.4
12 Nevada 1.2 5.8 18.7 32.9

9. FBS Independants

Of the three independents, we expect Notre Dame to outperform everyone with an expected ten wins and a good shot at making the CFP Playoff.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Notre Dame 0 0 0 0
2 Connecticut 0 0 0 0
3 Massachusetts 0 0 0 0

10. Conference USA (CUSA)

As we look ahead to the 2024-2025 season, Conference USA is set for an intriguing battle. Liberty is projected to dominate with 7.1 wins, showcasing both offensive and defensive prowess. Western Kentucky and Jacksonville State are expected to be strong contenders.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Liberty 7.1 0.9 36.6 17.2
2 WKU 5.8 2.2 31.8 23.0
3 Jacksonville St 5 3 28.1 24.2
4 UTEP 3.7 4.3 24.0 26.6
5 MTSU 3.5 4.5 24.7 27.5
6 Sam Houston St 3.5 4.5 22.7 25.8
7 Louisiana Tech 3.2 4.8 24.8 28.5
8 Florida Intl 2.8 5.2 22.0 28.3
9 Kennesaw 2.7 5.3 21.6 28.3
10 New Mexico St 2.6 5.4 22.2 29.2

11. Mid-American Conference (MAC)

For the 2024-2025 season, the MAC has consolidated into a single conference. Toledo is the projected leader with 6.3 wins, followed by Miami OH and Ohio. Teams like Bowling Green and Western Michigan are in the mid-tier, while Akron and Kent face tougher seasons.

Rank Team Conference Predictions
Wins Losses PPG OPG
1 Toledo 6.3 1.7 30.0 18.4
2 Miami OH 5.6 2.4 26.4 18.1
3 Ohio 4.8 3.2 24.9 21.2
4 Bowling Green 4.6 3.4 24.5 22.0
5 W Michigan 4.5 3.5 25.7 23.6
6 N Illinois 4.4 3.6 24.6 22.7
7 Ball St 3.6 4.4 22.1 23.7
8 Buffalo 3.4 4.6 22.1 24.7
9 C Michigan 3.4 4.6 22.6 25.5
10 E Michigan 2.9 5.1 20.4 25.6
11 Akron 2.2 5.8 18.2 27.3
12 Kent 2.2 5.8 18.4 27.3