A Simple Formula for Unknown Probabilities
The rule of succession and it's implications for how we make predictions
Jeff Donchess
A Summary of Different No-Vig Methods
Exploring the pros and cons of each no-vig method.
Caesar’s Rewards: The Value of Tier Credits
How much is each Caesar's Rewards status worth in terms of a dollar value?
Value in MGM Rewards: Is It Worth Pushing for Tier ...
How much is each MGM Rewards status worth in terms of a dollar value?
Amplifying Home Advantage in the Playoffs
Does the significance of playing on home turf escalate in the playoffs?
2024 March Madness Preview
Our breakdowns for each of the brackets in the 2024 NCAA Tournament.
The Comeback Effect in Basketball
How much value do we place on the comeback effect in college basketball?
The Distribution of Totals for Betting Basketball
This post delves into the nuances of totals betting in basketball.
MLB Strikeout Distribution Analysis
Modeling the distribution of strikeouts for pitchers
Analysis on Time of First Goal Scored in Soccer
Analyzing the Time of First Goal prop in soccer.
Home Court Advantage in College Basketball
How much is home court advantage worth in college basketball?
Is Expected Goals a Valuable Metric?
Is expected goals a valuable metric to be used in the sports statistics community?
MGM Rewards From BetMGM Betting
Converting BetMGM wagers to MLife tier credits and other benefits of the program.
Can Analytical Models Beat the Closing Line?
Discussing the chances that a model can beat the closing line spread over the long term.
NBA Scoring Trends: Regular Season vs. Playoffs
An analysis of scoring trends between regular season and NBA playoff basketball.
When To Wager on a Betting Angle?
Helping bettors understand when to make a bet using a betting trend.
NHL Scoring Trends: Regular Season vs. Playoffs
An analysis of scoring trends between regular season and NHL playoff hockey.
Station Casinos Rewards for Sports Betting
The conversion of sports betting wagers to Station Boarding Pass tier credits and other benefits of the program.
Caesars Rewards for Sports Betting
We break down the type of conversion of sports betting wagers to Total Rewards tier credits.
Are Odds Boosts a Good Bet?
Discussing when Odds Boosts can be a good bet and a bad bet.
2022 March Madness Preview
Our breakdowns for each of the brackets in the 2022 NCAA Tournament.
Sports Betting Odds Formats
Explaining the differences between American odds, decimal odds, and fractional odds
Conference Rankings in College Football
Ranking all of the conferences in Division 1 college football from best to worst.
What Is the Most Competitive Sports League?
Figuring out which sports league is the most competitive with data analysis.