Sarmiento at Estudiantes

Updated

Sarmiento

16.3%23.2%60.5%
WinDrawEstudiantes Win
0.77Projected Goals 1.75
1Final Score 2

Estudiantes

Last 5 Games

Sarmiento
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Racing Club
L 0-1 at CA Union
T 1-1 at Barracas Central
T 0-0 vs Belgrano
T 0-0 at Lanus
Estudiantes
Money Line
L 1-2 at Platense
L 1-0 vs Godoy Cruz
T 0-0 vs Gimnasia ELP
T 0-0 vs San Lorenzo
T 0-0 at Tigre

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarmiento+330-+625+667-+667+667+705.5
Estudiantes-110--200-200--200-200-173.8
Draw+215-+280+295-+295+295+314.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarmiento-----+705.5
Estudiantes------173.8
Draw-----+314.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sarmiento: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estudiantes: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sarmiento: 20.0%
Estudiantes: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sarmiento: 0.0%
Estudiantes: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sarmiento ML
No Steam Moves On Estudiantes ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-115-o2¼+108o2-128-o2-128o2-128o2-117
Underu2-105-u2¼-128u2+108-u2+108u2¼-128u2+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-117
Under-----u2+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.05%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 413.51%
Exactly 62.86%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.28%
Exactly 321.46%
Exactly 56.81%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarmiento
Exactly 046.10%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 213.82%
Exactly 33.57%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Estudiantes
Exactly 017.46%
Exactly 130.48%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 315.47%
Exactly 46.75%
Exactly 52.35%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.15%
Exactly 221.19%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.24%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarmiento
Exactly 069.87%
Exactly 125.05%
Exactly 24.49%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estudiantes
Exactly 044.58%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 214.55%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sarmiento
Wins by 2+ goals4.74%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Estudiantes
Wins by 2+ goals34.55%
Wins by 3+ goals15.75%
Wins by 4+ goals5.86%
Wins by 5+ goals1.81%
Wins by 6+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Sarmiento
Estudiantes
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sarmiento
Wins by 1 goal11.51%
Wins by 2 goals3.70%
Wins by 3 goals0.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Estudiantes
Wins by 1 goal25.94%
Wins by 2 goals18.80%
Wins by 3 goals9.89%
Wins by 4 goals4.05%
Wins by 5 goals1.35%
Wins by 6 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.95%8.05%
1.571.67%28.33%
2.546.11%53.89%
3.524.66%75.34%
4.511.14%88.86%
5.54.33%95.67%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Sarmiento Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.90%46.10%
1.518.20%81.80%
2.54.38%95.62%

Total Goals Estudiantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.54%17.46%
1.552.06%47.94%
2.525.47%74.53%
3.510.00%90.00%
4.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.85%31.15%
1.532.52%67.48%
2.511.33%88.67%
3.53.09%96.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sarmiento
Estudiantes
Score012345
0
8.05%
14.05%
12.26%
7.13%
3.11%
1.09%
1
6.23%
10.88%
9.49%
5.52%
2.41%
0.84%
2
2.41%
4.21%
3.68%
2.14%
0.93%
0.33%
3
0.62%
1.09%
0.95%
0.55%
0.24%
0.08%
4
0.12%
0.21%
0.18%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Sarmiento
1-06.23%
2-02.41%
2-14.21%
3-00.62%
3-11.09%
3-20.95%
4-00.12%
4-10.21%
4-20.18%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-08.05%
1-110.88%
2-23.68%
3-30.55%
Estudiantes
0-114.05%
0-212.26%
1-29.49%
0-37.13%
1-35.52%
2-32.14%
0-43.11%
1-42.41%
2-40.93%
3-40.24%
0-51.09%
1-50.84%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Sarmiento
Estudiantes
Score01234
0
31.15%
25.16%
10.17%
2.74%
0.55%
1
11.17%
9.02%
3.64%
0.98%
0.20%
2
2.00%
1.62%
0.65%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.24%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Sarmiento
1-011.17%
2-02.00%
2-11.62%
3-00.24%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-031.15%
1-19.02%
2-20.65%
Estudiantes
0-125.16%
0-210.17%
1-23.64%
0-32.74%
1-30.98%
2-30.18%
0-40.55%
1-40.20%