Independiente at Boca Juniors

Updated

Independiente

19.0%27.2%53.8%
WinDrawBoca Juniors Win
0.72Projected Goals 1.43
0Final Score 0

Boca Juniors

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Tucuman
W 0-2 vs CC Cordoba
L 1-2 at Newell's OB
W 0-1 vs Gimnasia ELP
L 0-1 at CA Huracan
Boca Juniors
Money Line
W 1-0 at Newell's OB
W 0-1 vs Gimnasia ELP
T 0-0 at CA Huracan
W 0-1 vs CA Union
W 2-0 at Sarmiento

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+240-+260+275+273+275+275+293.0
Boca Juniors+120-+120+120+119+120+120+130.6
Draw+210-+190+206+205+206+206+220.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+293.0
Boca Juniors-----+130.6
Draw-----+220.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-128-o2-102o2-104o2-104o2-104o2-102o2+105
Underu2+108-u2-118u2-116u2-116u2-116u2-116u2-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+105
Under-----u2-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.2%
 
No60.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.63%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 410.38%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.03%
Exactly 319.31%
Exactly 54.47%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 048.43%
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 212.73%
Exactly 33.08%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 024.02%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 311.62%
Exactly 44.14%
Exactly 51.18%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.93%
Exactly 218.32%
Exactly 41.51%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.08%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 071.48%
Exactly 124.00%
Exactly 24.03%
Exactly 30.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 051.67%
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 211.27%
Exactly 32.48%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals5.31%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.13%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals26.98%
Wins by 3+ goals10.50%
Wins by 4+ goals3.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.81%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Boca Juniors
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal13.61%
Wins by 2 goals4.25%
Wins by 3 goals0.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.13%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal26.78%
Wins by 2 goals16.48%
Wins by 3 goals7.24%
Wins by 4 goals2.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.37%11.63%
1.563.34%36.66%
2.536.42%63.58%
3.517.12%82.88%
4.56.73%93.27%
5.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.57%48.43%
1.516.46%83.54%
2.53.73%96.27%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.98%24.02%
1.541.72%58.28%
2.517.29%82.71%
3.55.67%94.33%
4.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.07%36.93%
1.526.28%73.72%
2.57.96%92.04%
3.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Boca Juniors
Score012345
0
11.63%
16.59%
11.83%
5.63%
2.01%
0.57%
1
8.43%
12.03%
8.58%
4.08%
1.45%
0.41%
2
3.06%
4.36%
3.11%
1.48%
0.53%
0.15%
3
0.74%
1.05%
0.75%
0.36%
0.13%
0.04%
4
0.13%
0.19%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Independiente
1-08.43%
2-03.06%
2-14.36%
3-00.74%
3-11.05%
3-20.75%
4-00.13%
4-10.19%
4-20.14%
Draw
0-011.63%
1-112.03%
2-23.11%
3-30.36%
Boca Juniors
0-116.59%
0-211.83%
1-28.58%
0-35.63%
1-34.08%
2-31.48%
0-42.01%
1-41.45%
2-40.53%
3-40.13%
0-50.57%
1-50.41%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Boca Juniors
Score01234
0
36.93%
24.39%
8.05%
1.77%
0.29%
1
12.40%
8.19%
2.70%
0.60%
0.10%
2
2.08%
1.37%
0.45%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.23%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-012.40%
2-02.08%
2-11.37%
3-00.23%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-036.93%
1-18.19%
2-20.45%
Boca Juniors
0-124.39%
0-28.05%
1-22.70%
0-31.77%
1-30.60%
0-40.29%
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