Velez Sarsf at Independiente

Updated

Velez Sarsf

29.8%30.6%39.6%
Velez Sarsf WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 1

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Velez Sarsf
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Newell's OB
L 1-3 at Gimnasia ELP
L 3-4 at Estudiantes
W 4-2 at Argentinos Jun
W 1-0 at Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente
Money Line
T 0-0 at Platense
L 3-1 vs Talleres
T 2-2 vs Talleres
W 1-0 at Banfield
T 1-1 vs Tucuman

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf+250-+170+187+180+187+187+201.1
Independiente+125-+185+185+186+182+186+195.8
Draw+190-+175+185+190+189+190+203.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf-----+201.1
Independiente-----+195.8
Draw-----+203.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Independiente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Velez Sarsf: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo1¾-108-o1¾-122o1¾-123o1¾-126o1¾-123o1¾-122o1¾-112
Underu1¾-112-u1¾+102u1¾+103u1¾+104u1¾+103u1¾+104u1¾+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-112
Under-----u1¾+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.8%
 
No60.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.44%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 49.08%
Exactly 61.22%
 
Exactly 126.98%
Exactly 318.10%
Exactly 53.64%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 040.27%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.66%
Exactly 35.05%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.49%
Exactly 217.04%
Exactly 41.23%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 35.28%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 065.63%
Exactly 127.64%
Exactly 25.82%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 060.17%
Exactly 130.56%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals10.33%
Wins by 3+ goals2.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals16.06%
Wins by 3+ goals4.92%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Velez Sarsf
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal19.43%
Wins by 2 goals7.66%
Wins by 3 goals2.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal23.44%
Wins by 2 goals11.14%
Wins by 3 goals3.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.56%13.44%
1.559.58%40.42%
2.532.51%67.49%
3.514.41%85.59%
4.55.32%94.68%
5.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.73%40.27%
1.523.10%76.90%
2.56.44%93.56%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.62%33.38%
1.529.99%70.01%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.51%39.49%
1.523.82%76.18%
2.56.77%93.23%
3.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Velez Sarsf
Independiente
Score012345
0
13.44%
14.75%
8.09%
2.96%
0.81%
0.18%
1
12.23%
13.42%
7.36%
2.69%
0.74%
0.16%
2
5.56%
6.10%
3.35%
1.22%
0.34%
0.07%
3
1.69%
1.85%
1.01%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.38%
0.42%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Velez Sarsf
1-012.23%
2-05.56%
2-16.10%
3-01.69%
3-11.85%
3-21.01%
4-00.38%
4-10.42%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-013.44%
1-113.42%
2-23.35%
3-30.37%
Independiente
0-114.75%
0-28.09%
1-27.36%
0-32.96%
1-32.69%
2-31.22%
0-40.81%
1-40.74%
2-40.34%
3-40.10%
0-50.18%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Velez Sarsf
Independiente
Score01234
0
39.49%
20.06%
5.09%
0.86%
0.11%
1
16.63%
8.45%
2.15%
0.36%
0.05%
2
3.50%
1.78%
0.45%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.49%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Velez Sarsf
1-016.63%
2-03.50%
2-11.78%
3-00.49%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-039.49%
1-18.45%
2-20.45%
Independiente
0-120.06%
0-25.09%
1-22.15%
0-30.86%
1-30.36%
0-40.11%
Banfield at Gimnasia ELP
Barracas Central at CA Union