Velez Sarsf at Independiente

Updated

Velez Sarsf

29.8%30.6%39.6%
Velez Sarsf WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 1

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Velez Sarsf
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Newell's OB
L 1-3 at Gimnasia ELP
L 3-4 at Estudiantes
W 4-2 at Argentinos Jun
W 1-0 at Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente
Money Line
T 0-0 at Platense
L 3-1 vs Talleres
T 2-2 vs Talleres
W 1-0 at Banfield
T 1-1 vs Tucuman

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf+250-+170+187+180+187+187+201.1
Independiente+125-+185+185+186+182+186+195.8
Draw+190-+175+185+190+189+190+203.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf-----+201.1
Independiente-----+195.8
Draw-----+203.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Independiente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo1¾-108-o1¾-122o1¾-123o1¾-126o1¾-123o1¾-122o1¾-112
Underu1¾-112-u1¾+102u1¾+103u1¾+104u1¾+103u1¾+104u1¾+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-112
Under-----u1¾+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.8%
 
No60.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.44%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 49.08%
Exactly 61.22%
 
Exactly 126.98%
Exactly 318.10%
Exactly 53.64%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 040.27%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.66%
Exactly 35.05%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.49%
Exactly 217.04%
Exactly 41.23%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 35.28%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 065.63%
Exactly 127.64%
Exactly 25.82%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 060.17%
Exactly 130.56%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals10.33%
Wins by 3+ goals2.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals16.06%
Wins by 3+ goals4.92%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Velez Sarsf
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal19.43%
Wins by 2 goals7.66%
Wins by 3 goals2.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal23.44%
Wins by 2 goals11.14%
Wins by 3 goals3.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.56%13.44%
1.559.58%40.42%
2.532.51%67.49%
3.514.41%85.59%
4.55.32%94.68%
5.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.73%40.27%
1.523.10%76.90%
2.56.44%93.56%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.62%33.38%
1.529.99%70.01%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.51%39.49%
1.523.82%76.18%
2.56.77%93.23%
3.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Velez Sarsf
Independiente
Score012345
0
13.44%
14.75%
8.09%
2.96%
0.81%
0.18%
1
12.23%
13.42%
7.36%
2.69%
0.74%
0.16%
2
5.56%
6.10%
3.35%
1.22%
0.34%
0.07%
3
1.69%
1.85%
1.01%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.38%
0.42%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Velez Sarsf
1-012.23%
2-05.56%
2-16.10%
3-01.69%
3-11.85%
3-21.01%
4-00.38%
4-10.42%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-013.44%
1-113.42%
2-23.35%
3-30.37%
Independiente
0-114.75%
0-28.09%
1-27.36%
0-32.96%
1-32.69%
2-31.22%
0-40.81%
1-40.74%
2-40.34%
3-40.10%
0-50.18%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Velez Sarsf
Independiente
Score01234
0
39.49%
20.06%
5.09%
0.86%
0.11%
1
16.63%
8.45%
2.15%
0.36%
0.05%
2
3.50%
1.78%
0.45%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.49%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Velez Sarsf
1-016.63%
2-03.50%
2-11.78%
3-00.49%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-039.49%
1-18.45%
2-20.45%
Independiente
0-120.06%
0-25.09%
1-22.15%
0-30.86%
1-30.36%
0-40.11%