Estudiantes at Independiente

Updated

Estudiantes

27.0%28.7%44.3%
Estudiantes WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.27
1Final Score 2

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Estudiantes
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sarmiento
W 1-0 at Aldosivi
T 1-1 vs Gimnasia ELP
L 3-2 vs Aldosivi
T 4-4 at Gimnasia ELP
Independiente
Money Line
L 1-2 at Argentinos Jun
W 0-1 vs Talleres
T 1-1 at San Lorenzo
W 2-1 at Talleres
T 1-1 vs San Lorenzo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes+210+220+225+237+217+225+237+252.2
Independiente+130+140+135+147+139+135+147+154.7
Draw+195+175+190+200+207+190+207+209.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes-----+252.2
Independiente-----+154.7
Draw-----+209.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estudiantes: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Independiente: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estudiantes: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estudiantes ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2-112o2-105o2-103-o2-105o2-103o2+100
Underu2¼-118u2-108u2-115u2-112-u2-115u2-108u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.25%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.68%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.58%
Exactly 319.55%
Exactly 54.67%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Estudiantes
Exactly 039.86%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.86%
Exactly 35.17%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 028.22%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 39.52%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.36%
Exactly 218.61%
Exactly 41.59%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estudiantes
Exactly 065.32%
Exactly 127.82%
Exactly 25.92%
Exactly 30.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 055.67%
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 29.55%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estudiantes
Wins by 2+ goals9.30%
Wins by 3+ goals2.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals20.02%
Wins by 3+ goals6.97%
Wins by 4+ goals1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Estudiantes
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estudiantes
Wins by 1 goal17.65%
Wins by 2 goals6.89%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal24.28%
Wins by 2 goals13.04%
Wins by 3 goals5.04%
Wins by 4 goals1.51%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.75%11.25%
1.564.17%35.83%
2.537.32%62.68%
3.517.77%82.23%
4.57.09%92.91%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Estudiantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.14%39.86%
1.523.47%76.53%
2.56.61%93.39%
3.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.78%28.22%
1.536.08%63.92%
2.513.49%86.51%
3.53.97%96.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.64%36.36%
1.526.85%73.15%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estudiantes
Independiente
Score012345
0
11.25%
14.23%
9.00%
3.80%
1.20%
0.30%
1
10.35%
13.09%
8.28%
3.49%
1.10%
0.28%
2
4.76%
6.02%
3.81%
1.61%
0.51%
0.13%
3
1.46%
1.85%
1.17%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.34%
0.42%
0.27%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Estudiantes
1-010.35%
2-04.76%
2-16.02%
3-01.46%
3-11.85%
3-21.17%
4-00.34%
4-10.42%
4-20.27%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-011.25%
1-113.09%
2-23.81%
3-30.49%
Independiente
0-114.23%
0-29.00%
1-28.28%
0-33.80%
1-33.49%
2-31.61%
0-41.20%
1-41.10%
2-40.51%
3-40.16%
0-50.30%
1-50.28%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Estudiantes
Independiente
Score01234
0
36.36%
21.30%
6.24%
1.22%
0.18%
1
15.48%
9.07%
2.66%
0.52%
0.08%
2
3.30%
1.93%
0.57%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.47%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Estudiantes
1-015.48%
2-03.30%
2-11.93%
3-00.47%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-036.36%
1-19.07%
2-20.57%
Independiente
0-121.30%
0-26.24%
1-22.66%
0-31.22%
1-30.52%
2-30.11%
0-40.18%
Racing Club at Gimnasia ELP
Argentinos Jun at Newell's OB