Estudiantes at Independiente

Updated

Estudiantes

27.0%28.7%44.3%
Estudiantes WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.27
1Final Score 2

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Estudiantes
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sarmiento
W 1-0 at Aldosivi
T 1-1 vs Gimnasia ELP
L 3-2 vs Aldosivi
T 4-4 at Gimnasia ELP
Independiente
Money Line
L 1-2 at Argentinos Jun
W 0-1 vs Talleres
T 1-1 at San Lorenzo
W 2-1 at Talleres
T 1-1 vs San Lorenzo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes+210+220+225+237+217+225+237+252.2
Independiente+130+140+135+147+139+135+147+154.7
Draw+195+175+190+200+207+190+207+209.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes-----+252.2
Independiente-----+154.7
Draw-----+209.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estudiantes: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Independiente: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estudiantes ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2-112o2-105o2-103-o2-105o2-103o2+100
Underu2¼-118u2-108u2-115u2-112-u2-115u2-108u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.25%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.68%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.58%
Exactly 319.55%
Exactly 54.67%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Estudiantes
Exactly 039.86%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.86%
Exactly 35.17%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 028.22%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 39.52%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.36%
Exactly 218.61%
Exactly 41.59%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estudiantes
Exactly 065.32%
Exactly 127.82%
Exactly 25.92%
Exactly 30.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 055.67%
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 29.55%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estudiantes
Wins by 2+ goals9.30%
Wins by 3+ goals2.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals20.02%
Wins by 3+ goals6.97%
Wins by 4+ goals1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Estudiantes
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estudiantes
Wins by 1 goal17.65%
Wins by 2 goals6.89%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal24.28%
Wins by 2 goals13.04%
Wins by 3 goals5.04%
Wins by 4 goals1.51%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.75%11.25%
1.564.17%35.83%
2.537.32%62.68%
3.517.77%82.23%
4.57.09%92.91%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Estudiantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.14%39.86%
1.523.47%76.53%
2.56.61%93.39%
3.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.78%28.22%
1.536.08%63.92%
2.513.49%86.51%
3.53.97%96.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.64%36.36%
1.526.85%73.15%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estudiantes
Independiente
Score012345
0
11.25%
14.23%
9.00%
3.80%
1.20%
0.30%
1
10.35%
13.09%
8.28%
3.49%
1.10%
0.28%
2
4.76%
6.02%
3.81%
1.61%
0.51%
0.13%
3
1.46%
1.85%
1.17%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.34%
0.42%
0.27%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Estudiantes
1-010.35%
2-04.76%
2-16.02%
3-01.46%
3-11.85%
3-21.17%
4-00.34%
4-10.42%
4-20.27%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-011.25%
1-113.09%
2-23.81%
3-30.49%
Independiente
0-114.23%
0-29.00%
1-28.28%
0-33.80%
1-33.49%
2-31.61%
0-41.20%
1-41.10%
2-40.51%
3-40.16%
0-50.30%
1-50.28%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Estudiantes
Independiente
Score01234
0
36.36%
21.30%
6.24%
1.22%
0.18%
1
15.48%
9.07%
2.66%
0.52%
0.08%
2
3.30%
1.93%
0.57%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.47%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Estudiantes
1-015.48%
2-03.30%
2-11.93%
3-00.47%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-036.36%
1-19.07%
2-20.57%
Independiente
0-121.30%
0-26.24%
1-22.66%
0-31.22%
1-30.52%
2-30.11%
0-40.18%