Patronato at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Patronato

17.5%18.9%63.6%
WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.02
0Final Score 0

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Patronato
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Godoy Cruz
L 0-1 at CA Huracan
W 2-3 vs Lanus
L 0-5 at River Plate
W 0-2 vs Colon
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
L 0-1 at Estudiantes
W 0-2 vs Argentinos Jun
T 1-1 at Talleres
W 1-2 vs San Lorenzo
L 1-2 at Banfield

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato+455+575+620+580+435+620+620+688.2
Velez Sarsf-166-210-208-201-148-208-148-174.3
Draw+290+290+285+298+263+285+298+320.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato-----+688.2
Velez Sarsf------174.3
Draw-----+320.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Velez Sarsf: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Patronato: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Patronato: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Patronato: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Patronato ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-101o2¼-112o2¼-110o2½+117-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-102
Underu2½-119u2¼-108u2¼-110u2½-132-u2¼-110u2½-132u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-102
Under-----u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.0%
 
No63.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.60%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 413.97%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.59%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.20%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Patronato
Exactly 057.29%
Exactly 131.91%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 013.27%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.22%
Exactly 49.20%
Exactly 53.72%
Exactly 61.25%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.33%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Patronato
Exactly 077.26%
Exactly 119.93%
Exactly 22.57%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 039.25%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.16%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Patronato
Wins by 2+ goals2.00%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals46.10%
Wins by 3+ goals23.90%
Wins by 4+ goals10.17%
Wins by 5+ goals3.60%
Wins by 6+ goals1.04%
Wins by 7+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Patronato
Velez Sarsf
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Patronato
Wins by 1 goal7.11%
Wins by 2 goals1.68%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal25.77%
Wins by 2 goals22.20%
Wins by 3 goals13.73%
Wins by 4 goals6.57%
Wins by 5 goals2.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.40%7.60%
1.572.81%27.19%
2.547.58%52.42%
3.525.90%74.10%
4.511.93%88.07%
5.54.74%95.26%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Patronato Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.71%57.29%
1.510.80%89.20%
2.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.73%13.27%
1.559.93%40.07%
2.532.87%67.13%
3.514.65%85.35%
4.55.45%94.55%
5.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.67%30.33%
1.533.49%66.51%
2.511.90%88.10%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Patronato
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
7.60%
15.35%
15.50%
10.44%
5.27%
2.13%
1
4.23%
8.55%
8.64%
5.82%
2.94%
1.19%
2
1.18%
2.38%
2.41%
1.62%
0.82%
0.33%
3
0.22%
0.44%
0.45%
0.30%
0.15%
0.06%
Patronato
1-04.23%
2-01.18%
2-12.38%
3-00.22%
3-10.44%
3-20.45%
Draw
0-07.60%
1-18.55%
2-22.41%
3-30.30%
Velez Sarsf
0-115.35%
0-215.50%
1-28.64%
0-310.44%
1-35.82%
2-31.62%
0-45.27%
1-42.94%
2-40.82%
3-40.15%
0-52.13%
1-51.19%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Patronato
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
30.33%
28.36%
13.26%
4.13%
0.97%
0.18%
1
7.82%
7.32%
3.42%
1.07%
0.25%
0.05%
2
1.01%
0.94%
0.44%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Patronato
1-07.82%
2-01.01%
2-10.94%
Draw
0-030.33%
1-17.32%
2-20.44%
Velez Sarsf
0-128.36%
0-213.26%
1-23.42%
0-34.13%
1-31.07%
2-30.14%
0-40.97%
1-40.25%
0-50.18%
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