Independiente at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Independiente

18.1%25.6%56.2%
WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.76Projected Goals 1.54
1Final Score 0

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
L 2-3 at Talleres
T 0-0 vs Banfield
W 2-1 at Tucuman
T 0-0 vs Arsenal
L 0-3 at River Plate
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
T 1-1 at Barracas Central
W 1-3 vs Colon
T 1-1 at Argentinos Jun
T 1-1 vs Talleres
W 1-0 at Instituto

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+240-+200+212-+212+212+227.3
Velez Sarsf+130-+170+176-+176+176+189.6
Draw+190-+175+173-+173+175+186.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+227.3
Velez Sarsf-----+189.6
Draw-----+186.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo1¾-115-o1¾-105o1¾-108-o1¾-108o1¾-105o1¾+102
Underu1¾-105-u1¾-115u1¾-112-u1¾-112u1¾-112u1¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾+102
Under-----u1¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.6%
 
No58.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.06%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.66%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.11%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 55.35%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 047.16%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 213.32%
Exactly 33.34%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 021.33%
Exactly 132.96%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 313.11%
Exactly 45.06%
Exactly 51.56%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.53%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 070.61%
Exactly 124.57%
Exactly 24.28%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 048.91%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.51%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals5.15%
Wins by 3+ goals1.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.13%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals29.65%
Wins by 3+ goals12.27%
Wins by 4+ goals4.07%
Wins by 5+ goals1.07%
Wins by 6+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Velez Sarsf
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal12.88%
Wins by 2 goals4.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.13%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal26.49%
Wins by 2 goals17.38%
Wins by 3 goals8.20%
Wins by 4 goals3.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.94%10.06%
1.566.83%33.17%
2.540.30%59.70%
3.519.99%80.01%
4.58.33%91.67%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.84%47.16%
1.517.39%82.61%
2.54.07%95.93%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.67%21.33%
1.545.71%54.29%
2.520.25%79.75%
3.57.14%92.86%
4.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.47%34.53%
1.528.75%71.25%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
10.06%
15.54%
12.01%
6.18%
2.39%
0.74%
1
7.56%
11.68%
9.02%
4.65%
1.79%
0.55%
2
2.84%
4.39%
3.39%
1.75%
0.67%
0.21%
3
0.71%
1.10%
0.85%
0.44%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.13%
0.21%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Independiente
1-07.56%
2-02.84%
2-14.39%
3-00.71%
3-11.10%
3-20.85%
4-00.13%
4-10.21%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-010.06%
1-111.68%
2-23.39%
3-30.44%
Velez Sarsf
0-115.54%
0-212.01%
1-29.02%
0-36.18%
1-34.65%
2-31.75%
0-42.39%
1-41.79%
2-40.67%
3-40.17%
0-50.74%
1-50.55%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Velez Sarsf
Score01234
0
34.53%
24.70%
8.83%
2.11%
0.38%
1
12.02%
8.60%
3.07%
0.73%
0.13%
2
2.09%
1.50%
0.53%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-012.02%
2-02.09%
2-11.50%
3-00.24%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-034.53%
1-18.60%
2-20.53%
Velez Sarsf
0-124.70%
0-28.83%
1-23.07%
0-32.11%
1-30.73%
2-30.13%
0-40.38%
1-40.13%
Banfield at Rosario Cent
Newell's OB at Lanus