Sarmiento at Boca Juniors

Updated

Sarmiento

13.3%22.7%64.0%
WinDrawBoca Juniors Win
0.65Projected Goals 1.75
0Final Score 2

Boca Juniors

Last 5 Games

Sarmiento
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Tucuman
L 0-2 at Independiente
T 0-0 vs Newell's OB
T 0-0 at Gimnasia ELP
T 0-0 vs CA Huracan
Boca Juniors
Money Line
L 0-4 at Godoy Cruz
T 1-1 vs Lanus
L 0-1 at Arsenal
W 0-1 vs Tigre
W 1-0 at Argentinos Jun

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarmiento+420--+500+476+500+500+529.3
Boca Juniors-135---135-138-135-135-121.1
Draw+240--+225+246+225+246+240.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarmiento-----+529.3
Boca Juniors------121.1
Draw-----+240.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sarmiento: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sarmiento: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sarmiento: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sarmiento ML
No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-108--o2-109o2-113o2-109o2-109o2+101
Underu2-112--u2-111u2-103u2-111u2-103u2-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+101
Under-----u2-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.5%
 
No60.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.06%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 412.56%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.75%
Exactly 320.91%
Exactly 56.03%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarmiento
Exactly 052.23%
Exactly 133.92%
Exactly 211.02%
Exactly 32.38%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 017.34%
Exactly 130.38%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 315.55%
Exactly 46.81%
Exactly 52.39%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.89%
Exactly 220.34%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarmiento
Exactly 074.03%
Exactly 122.26%
Exactly 23.35%
Exactly 30.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 044.43%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 214.62%
Exactly 33.95%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sarmiento
Wins by 2+ goals3.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.60%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals37.16%
Wins by 3+ goals17.18%
Wins by 4+ goals6.46%
Wins by 5+ goals2.02%
Wins by 6+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Sarmiento
Boca Juniors
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sarmiento
Wins by 1 goal9.92%
Wins by 2 goals2.74%
Wins by 3 goals0.53%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal26.78%
Wins by 2 goals19.99%
Wins by 3 goals10.71%
Wins by 4 goals4.45%
Wins by 5 goals1.50%
Wins by 6 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.94%9.06%
1.569.19%30.81%
2.543.07%56.93%
3.522.16%77.84%
4.59.61%90.39%
5.53.58%96.42%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Sarmiento Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.77%52.23%
1.513.84%86.16%
2.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.66%17.34%
1.552.28%47.72%
2.525.66%74.34%
3.510.12%89.88%
4.53.31%96.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.11%32.89%
1.530.54%69.46%
2.510.20%89.80%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sarmiento
Boca Juniors
Score012345
0
9.06%
15.87%
13.90%
8.12%
3.56%
1.25%
1
5.88%
10.31%
9.03%
5.27%
2.31%
0.81%
2
1.91%
3.35%
2.93%
1.71%
0.75%
0.26%
3
0.41%
0.72%
0.63%
0.37%
0.16%
0.06%
Sarmiento
1-05.88%
2-01.91%
2-13.35%
3-00.41%
3-10.72%
3-20.63%
Draw
0-09.06%
1-110.31%
2-22.93%
3-30.37%
Boca Juniors
0-115.87%
0-213.90%
1-29.03%
0-38.12%
1-35.27%
2-31.71%
0-43.56%
1-42.31%
2-40.75%
3-40.16%
0-51.25%
1-50.81%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Sarmiento
Boca Juniors
Score01234
0
32.89%
26.68%
10.82%
2.93%
0.59%
1
9.89%
8.02%
3.25%
0.88%
0.18%
2
1.49%
1.21%
0.49%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.15%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Sarmiento
1-09.89%
2-01.49%
2-11.21%
3-00.15%
3-10.12%
Draw
0-032.89%
1-18.02%
2-20.49%
Boca Juniors
0-126.68%
0-210.82%
1-23.25%
0-32.93%
1-30.88%
2-30.13%
0-40.59%
1-40.18%