Boca Juniors at Belgrano

Updated

Boca Juniors

42.5%30.5%26.9%
Boca Juniors WinDrawBelgrano Win
1.14Projected Goals 0.84
3Final Score 4

Belgrano

Last 5 Games

Boca Juniors
Money Line
L 2-0 vs River Plate
T 1-1 vs Lanus
W 3-0 at CC Cordoba
L 0-1 at Defensa y Just
L 1-0 vs Tigre
Belgrano
Money Line
T 0-0 at Talleres
T 0-0 at Sarmiento
W 0-3 vs Platense
T 0-0 at Godoy Cruz
T 1-1 vs Newell's OB

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors+206+209+205+220-+220+220+235.5
Belgrano+159+164+155+158-+158+164+170.5
Draw+206+196+195+187-+187+196+200.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors-----+235.5
Belgrano-----+170.5
Draw-----+200.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belgrano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boca Juniors: 40.0%
Belgrano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Belgrano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML
No Steam Moves On Belgrano ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2+100o2+110o1¾-122o1¾-115-o1¾-115o1¾-115o1¾-104
Underu2-118u2-130u1¾+102u1¾-105-u1¾-105u2-130u1¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-104
Under-----u1¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.8%
 
No61.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.75%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 48.88%
Exactly 61.17%
 
Exactly 127.28%
Exactly 317.90%
Exactly 53.52%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 031.95%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.80%
Exactly 37.91%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Belgrano
Exactly 043.03%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 215.30%
Exactly 34.30%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.91%
Exactly 216.84%
Exactly 41.18%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 058.96%
Exactly 131.15%
Exactly 28.23%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belgrano
Exactly 067.68%
Exactly 126.42%
Exactly 25.16%
Exactly 30.67%

Alternate Props

Spread

Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals17.87%
Wins by 3+ goals5.68%
Wins by 4+ goals1.38%
Belgrano
Wins by 2+ goals8.79%
Wins by 3+ goals2.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Boca Juniors
Belgrano
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal24.55%
Wins by 2 goals12.19%
Wins by 3 goals4.30%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Belgrano
Wins by 1 goal18.14%
Wins by 2 goals6.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.25%13.75%
1.558.97%41.03%
2.531.90%68.10%
3.514.00%86.00%
4.55.12%94.88%
5.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.05%31.95%
1.531.59%68.41%
2.510.80%89.20%
3.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals Belgrano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.97%43.03%
1.520.68%79.32%
2.55.38%94.62%
3.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.09%39.91%
1.523.43%76.57%
2.56.60%93.40%
3.51.44%98.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Boca Juniors
Belgrano
Score01234
0
13.75%
11.59%
4.89%
1.37%
0.29%
1
15.69%
13.23%
5.58%
1.57%
0.33%
2
8.95%
7.55%
3.18%
0.89%
0.19%
3
3.40%
2.87%
1.21%
0.34%
0.07%
4
0.97%
0.82%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
Boca Juniors
1-015.69%
2-08.95%
2-17.55%
3-03.40%
3-12.87%
3-21.21%
4-00.97%
4-10.82%
4-20.35%
Draw
0-013.75%
1-113.23%
2-23.18%
3-30.34%
Belgrano
0-111.59%
0-24.89%
1-25.58%
0-31.37%
1-31.57%
2-30.89%
0-40.29%
1-40.33%
2-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Boca Juniors
Belgrano
Score0123
0
39.91%
15.58%
3.04%
0.40%
1
21.08%
8.23%
1.61%
0.21%
2
5.57%
2.17%
0.42%
0.06%
3
0.98%
0.38%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Boca Juniors
1-021.08%
2-05.57%
2-12.17%
3-00.98%
3-10.38%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-039.91%
1-18.23%
2-20.42%
Belgrano
0-115.58%
0-23.04%
1-21.61%
0-30.40%
1-30.21%