River Plate at Independiente

Updated

River Plate

50.3%26.9%22.8%
River Plate WinDrawIndependiente Win
1.44Projected Goals 0.87
1Final Score 1

Independiente

Last 5 Games

River Plate
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Independiente Rivadavia
T 2-2 at Talleres
T 1-1 vs Boca Juniors
T 1-1 vs Banfield
T 0-0 at Tucuman
Independiente
Money Line
T 2-2 at Barracas Central
W 1-2 vs Argentinos Jun
L 1-0 vs Racing Club
W 2-0 at Instituto
W 0-1 vs Rosario Cent

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
River Plate-130-+135+130-+130+135+141.4
Independiente+400-+220+235-+235+235+251.7
Draw+230-+200+216-+216+216+231.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
River Plate-----+141.4
Independiente-----+251.7
Draw-----+231.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
River Plate: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

River Plate: 30.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

River Plate: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On River Plate ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105-o2-128o2-120-o2-120o2-120o2-109
Underu2¼-125-u2+108u2+100-u2+100u2+108u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.92%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 411.79%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.92%
Exactly 320.40%
Exactly 55.45%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - River Plate
Exactly 023.74%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 041.76%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.92%
Exactly 34.63%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.30%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 41.87%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.00%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - River Plate
Exactly 051.39%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 211.39%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 066.74%
Exactly 126.98%
Exactly 25.46%
Exactly 30.74%

Alternate Props

Spread

River Plate
Wins by 2+ goals24.93%
Wins by 3+ goals9.65%
Wins by 4+ goals2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals7.46%
Wins by 3+ goals1.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

River Plate
Independiente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
River Plate
Wins by 1 goal25.29%
Wins by 2 goals15.27%
Wins by 3 goals6.66%
Wins by 4 goals2.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal15.36%
Wins by 2 goals5.63%
Wins by 3 goals1.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.08%9.92%
1.567.17%32.83%
2.540.69%59.31%
3.520.29%79.71%
4.58.51%91.49%
5.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals River Plate Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.26%23.74%
1.542.12%57.88%
2.517.57%82.43%
3.55.81%94.19%
4.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.24%41.76%
1.521.77%78.23%
2.55.85%94.15%
3.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.70%34.30%
1.529.00%71.00%
2.59.36%90.64%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

River Plate
Independiente
Score01234
0
9.92%
8.66%
3.78%
1.10%
0.24%
1
14.26%
12.45%
5.44%
1.58%
0.35%
2
10.25%
8.95%
3.91%
1.14%
0.25%
3
4.91%
4.29%
1.87%
0.55%
0.12%
4
1.77%
1.54%
0.67%
0.20%
0.04%
5
0.51%
0.44%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
River Plate
1-014.26%
2-010.25%
2-18.95%
3-04.91%
3-14.29%
3-21.87%
4-01.77%
4-11.54%
4-20.67%
4-30.20%
5-00.51%
5-10.44%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-09.92%
1-112.45%
2-23.91%
3-30.55%
Independiente
0-18.66%
0-23.78%
1-25.44%
0-31.10%
1-31.58%
2-31.14%
0-40.24%
1-40.35%
2-40.25%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

River Plate
Independiente
Score0123
0
34.30%
13.87%
2.80%
0.38%
1
22.83%
9.23%
1.87%
0.25%
2
7.60%
3.07%
0.62%
0.08%
3
1.69%
0.68%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.28%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
River Plate
1-022.83%
2-07.60%
2-13.07%
3-01.69%
3-10.68%
3-20.14%
4-00.28%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-034.30%
1-19.23%
2-20.62%
Independiente
0-113.87%
0-22.80%
1-21.87%
0-30.38%
1-30.25%