Velez Sarsf at Sarmiento

Updated

Velez Sarsf

52.5%25.1%22.4%
Velez Sarsf WinDrawSarmiento Win
1.58Projected Goals 0.67
1Final Score 0

Sarmiento

Last 5 Games

Velez Sarsf
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Aldosivi
T 0-0 at Gimnasia ELP
W 0-4 vs CA Union
W 0-3 vs Godoy Cruz
T 1-1 at CA Huracan
Sarmiento
Money Line
T 1-1 at Godoy Cruz
T 0-0 vs CA Huracan
T 1-1 at Lanus
L 2-1 vs River Plate
T 1-1 at Colon

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf+100-105-108-104-109-108-104+103.3
Sarmiento+285+300+280+324+315+280+324+339.4
Draw+215+220+220+244+236+220+244+256.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf-----+103.3
Sarmiento-----+339.4
Draw-----+256.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sarmiento: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Velez Sarsf: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML
No Steam Moves On Sarmiento ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-125o2-126o2¼+109-o2-126o2-125o2¼+116
Underu2¼-108u2+105u2+106u2¼-124-u2+106u2¼-124u2¼-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+116
Under-----u2¼-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.8%
 
No61.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.54%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 411.25%
Exactly 61.90%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.72%
Exactly 320.01%
Exactly 55.06%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 020.65%
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 313.51%
Exactly 45.33%
Exactly 51.68%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarmiento
Exactly 051.05%
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 211.54%
Exactly 32.59%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.29%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 41.73%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 048.17%
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 212.85%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarmiento
Exactly 073.25%
Exactly 122.80%
Exactly 23.55%
Exactly 30.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals31.93%
Wins by 3+ goals13.52%
Wins by 4+ goals4.58%
Wins by 5+ goals1.24%
Sarmiento
Wins by 2+ goals4.10%
Wins by 3+ goals0.77%

Exact Winning Margin

Velez Sarsf
Sarmiento
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal27.15%
Wins by 2 goals18.42%
Wins by 3 goals8.93%
Wins by 4 goals3.35%
Wins by 5 goals1.01%
Sarmiento
Wins by 1 goal11.57%
Wins by 2 goals3.34%
Wins by 3 goals0.68%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.46%10.54%
1.565.74%34.26%
2.539.06%60.94%
3.519.05%80.95%
4.57.80%92.20%
5.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.35%20.65%
1.546.78%53.22%
2.521.09%78.91%
3.57.58%92.42%
4.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Sarmiento Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.95%51.05%
1.514.62%85.38%
2.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.71%35.29%
1.527.96%72.04%
2.58.81%91.19%
3.52.17%97.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Velez Sarsf
Sarmiento
Score0123
0
10.54%
7.09%
2.38%
0.53%
1
16.63%
11.18%
3.76%
0.84%
2
13.12%
8.82%
2.96%
0.66%
3
6.90%
4.64%
1.56%
0.35%
4
2.72%
1.83%
0.61%
0.14%
5
0.86%
0.58%
0.19%
0.04%
Velez Sarsf
1-016.63%
2-013.12%
2-18.82%
3-06.90%
3-14.64%
3-21.56%
4-02.72%
4-11.83%
4-20.61%
4-30.14%
5-00.86%
5-10.58%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-010.54%
1-111.18%
2-22.96%
3-30.35%
Sarmiento
0-17.09%
0-22.38%
1-23.76%
0-30.53%
1-30.84%
2-30.66%

Correct Score - First Half

Velez Sarsf
Sarmiento
Score0123
0
35.29%
10.98%
1.71%
0.18%
1
25.77%
8.02%
1.25%
0.13%
2
9.41%
2.93%
0.46%
0.05%
3
2.29%
0.71%
0.11%
0.01%
4
0.42%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
Velez Sarsf
1-025.77%
2-09.41%
2-12.93%
3-02.29%
3-10.71%
3-20.11%
4-00.42%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-035.29%
1-18.02%
2-20.46%
Sarmiento
0-110.98%
0-21.71%
1-21.25%
0-30.18%
1-30.13%
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