Sarmiento at Belgrano

Updated

Sarmiento

29.9%30.2%39.9%
Sarmiento WinDrawBelgrano Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 4

Belgrano

Last 5 Games

Sarmiento
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Lanus
L 0-3 at CC Cordoba
L 3-2 vs Defensa y Just
T 1-1 at Boca Juniors
T 0-0 at Tigre
Belgrano
Money Line
T 1-1 at Platense
L 1-0 vs Godoy Cruz
L 0-1 at Newell's OB
T 1-1 vs San Lorenzo
L 0-1 at Estudiantes

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarmiento+290-+370+435-+435+435+461.6
Belgrano+115--105-110--110-105+100.4
Draw+190-+190+195-+195+195+209.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarmiento-----+461.6
Belgrano-----+100.4
Draw-----+209.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sarmiento: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belgrano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sarmiento: 30.0%
Belgrano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sarmiento: 0.0%
Belgrano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sarmiento ML
No Steam Moves On Belgrano ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo1¾-118-o1¾-115o1¾-114-o1¾-114o1¾-114o1¾-104
Underu1¾-102-u1¾-105u1¾-106-u1¾-106u1¾-105u1¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-104
Under-----u1¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.89%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 49.46%
Exactly 61.32%
 
Exactly 126.40%
Exactly 318.48%
Exactly 53.88%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarmiento
Exactly 039.55%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.01%
Exactly 35.26%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Belgrano
Exactly 032.58%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.49%
Exactly 37.66%
Exactly 42.15%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.73%
Exactly 217.43%
Exactly 41.31%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 35.51%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarmiento
Exactly 065.09%
Exactly 127.95%
Exactly 26.00%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belgrano
Exactly 059.50%
Exactly 130.89%
Exactly 28.02%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sarmiento
Wins by 2+ goals10.49%
Wins by 3+ goals2.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Belgrano
Wins by 2+ goals16.42%
Wins by 3+ goals5.12%
Wins by 4+ goals1.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Sarmiento
Belgrano
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sarmiento
Wins by 1 goal19.34%
Wins by 2 goals7.73%
Wins by 3 goals2.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Belgrano
Wins by 1 goal23.39%
Wins by 2 goals11.30%
Wins by 3 goals3.90%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.11%12.89%
1.560.71%39.29%
2.533.66%66.34%
3.515.18%84.82%
4.55.72%94.28%
5.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Sarmiento Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.45%39.55%
1.523.76%76.24%
2.56.75%93.25%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Belgrano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.42%32.58%
1.530.88%69.12%
2.510.39%89.61%
3.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.27%38.73%
1.524.54%75.46%
2.57.11%92.89%
3.51.60%98.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sarmiento
Belgrano
Score012345
0
12.89%
14.45%
8.10%
3.03%
0.85%
0.19%
1
11.95%
13.40%
7.52%
2.81%
0.79%
0.18%
2
5.54%
6.22%
3.49%
1.30%
0.37%
0.08%
3
1.71%
1.92%
1.08%
0.40%
0.11%
0.03%
4
0.40%
0.45%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Sarmiento
1-011.95%
2-05.54%
2-16.22%
3-01.71%
3-11.92%
3-21.08%
4-00.40%
4-10.45%
4-20.25%
Draw
0-012.89%
1-113.40%
2-23.49%
3-30.40%
Belgrano
0-114.45%
0-28.10%
1-27.52%
0-33.03%
1-32.81%
2-31.30%
0-40.85%
1-40.79%
2-40.37%
3-40.11%
0-50.19%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Sarmiento
Belgrano
Score01234
0
38.73%
20.11%
5.22%
0.90%
0.12%
1
16.63%
8.64%
2.24%
0.39%
0.05%
2
3.57%
1.85%
0.48%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.51%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sarmiento
1-016.63%
2-03.57%
2-11.85%
3-00.51%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-038.73%
1-18.64%
2-20.48%
Belgrano
0-120.11%
0-25.22%
1-22.24%
0-30.90%
1-30.39%
0-40.12%