Belgrano at Independiente

Updated

Belgrano

25.1%29.2%45.8%
Belgrano WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.25
0Final Score 2

Independiente

Last Games

Belgrano
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Newell's OB
Independiente
Money Line
L 0-2 at River Plate
T 1-1 vs Racing Club
L 0-1 at Rosario Cent
L 2-1 vs Estudiantes
T 0-0 at San Lorenzo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belgrano+210+221+215+235-+235+235+251.5
Independiente+155+156+150+145-+145+156+157.0
Draw+185+196+185+192-+192+196+206.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belgrano-----+251.5
Independiente-----+157.0
Draw-----+206.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belgrano: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belgrano: 0.0%
Independiente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belgrano: 10.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Belgrano ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-105o2+100o2+100o2+108o2+105o2+108o2+108o2+117
Underu2-115u2-118u2-120u2-128u2-120u2-128u2-118u2-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+117
Under-----u2-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.33%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 49.86%
Exactly 61.44%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.80%
Exactly 318.85%
Exactly 54.13%
Exactly 70.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Belgrano
Exactly 043.01%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 215.31%
Exactly 34.30%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 028.66%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.94%
Exactly 217.82%
Exactly 41.40%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.76%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belgrano
Exactly 067.66%
Exactly 126.43%
Exactly 25.16%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 056.06%
Exactly 132.44%
Exactly 29.39%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Belgrano
Wins by 2+ goals8.10%
Wins by 3+ goals1.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals20.65%
Wins by 3+ goals7.16%
Wins by 4+ goals1.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Belgrano
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Belgrano
Wins by 1 goal16.93%
Wins by 2 goals6.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal25.09%
Wins by 2 goals13.49%
Wins by 3 goals5.19%
Wins by 4 goals1.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.67%12.33%
1.561.87%38.13%
2.534.86%65.14%
3.516.01%83.99%
4.56.15%93.85%
5.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Belgrano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.99%43.01%
1.520.70%79.30%
2.55.39%94.61%
3.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.34%28.66%
1.535.53%64.47%
2.513.15%86.85%
3.53.83%96.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.06%37.94%
1.525.29%74.71%
2.57.47%92.53%
3.51.72%98.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Belgrano
Independiente
Score012345
0
12.33%
15.40%
9.63%
4.01%
1.25%
0.31%
1
10.40%
13.00%
8.12%
3.38%
1.06%
0.26%
2
4.39%
5.48%
3.43%
1.43%
0.45%
0.11%
3
1.23%
1.54%
0.96%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.26%
0.33%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Belgrano
1-010.40%
2-04.39%
2-15.48%
3-01.23%
3-11.54%
3-20.96%
4-00.26%
4-10.33%
4-20.20%
Draw
0-012.33%
1-113.00%
2-23.43%
3-30.40%
Independiente
0-115.40%
0-29.63%
1-28.12%
0-34.01%
1-33.38%
2-31.43%
0-41.25%
1-41.06%
2-40.45%
3-40.13%
0-50.31%
1-50.26%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Belgrano
Independiente
Score01234
0
37.94%
21.95%
6.35%
1.23%
0.18%
1
14.82%
8.57%
2.48%
0.48%
0.07%
2
2.89%
1.67%
0.48%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.38%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Belgrano
1-014.82%
2-02.89%
2-11.67%
3-00.38%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-037.94%
1-18.57%
2-20.48%
Independiente
0-121.95%
0-26.35%
1-22.48%
0-31.23%
1-30.48%
0-40.18%