Independiente at Boca Juniors

Updated

Independiente

17.0%26.0%57.0%
WinDrawBoca Juniors Win
0.69Projected Goals 1.51
2Final Score 2

Boca Juniors

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Tigre
L 1-2 at Tigre
L 2-1 vs CC Cordoba
W 1-0 at Arsenal
W 0-1 vs Newell's OB
Boca Juniors
Money Line
W 1-0 at Sarmiento
W 1-2 vs Aldosivi
W 0-1 vs Velez Sarsf
W 1-0 at Godoy Cruz
T 0-0 vs CA Huracan

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+390+909+800+790-+790+909+1007.8
Boca Juniors-120-247-250-250--250-247-216.5
Draw+225+336+310+295-+295+336+343.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+1007.8
Boca Juniors------216.5
Draw-----+343.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 40.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2-144o2¼+102o2¼-102-o2¼-102o2¼+102o2-125
Underu2+102u2+122u2¼-122u2¼-118-u2¼-118u2¼-118u2+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-125
Under-----u2+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.8%
 
No61.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.10%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 410.80%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.40%
Exactly 319.65%
Exactly 54.75%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 050.19%
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 211.93%
Exactly 32.74%
Exactly 40.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 022.12%
Exactly 133.37%
Exactly 225.17%
Exactly 312.66%
Exactly 44.78%
Exactly 51.44%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.14%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 41.62%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 072.67%
Exactly 123.20%
Exactly 23.70%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 049.73%
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 212.13%
Exactly 32.83%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals4.54%
Wins by 3+ goals0.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.10%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals29.78%
Wins by 3+ goals12.16%
Wins by 4+ goals3.97%
Wins by 5+ goals1.03%
Wins by 6+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Boca Juniors
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal12.38%
Wins by 2 goals3.67%
Wins by 3 goals0.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.10%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal27.11%
Wins by 2 goals17.63%
Wins by 3 goals8.19%
Wins by 4 goals2.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.85%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.90%11.10%
1.564.50%35.50%
2.537.68%62.32%
3.518.03%81.97%
4.57.23%92.77%
5.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.81%50.19%
1.515.21%84.79%
2.53.29%96.71%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.88%22.12%
1.544.51%55.49%
2.519.34%80.66%
3.56.67%93.33%
4.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.86%36.14%
1.527.08%72.92%
2.58.36%91.64%
3.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Boca Juniors
Score012345
0
11.10%
16.75%
12.63%
6.35%
2.40%
0.72%
1
7.65%
11.55%
8.71%
4.38%
1.65%
0.50%
2
2.64%
3.98%
3.00%
1.51%
0.57%
0.17%
3
0.61%
0.91%
0.69%
0.35%
0.13%
0.04%
4
0.10%
0.16%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Independiente
1-07.65%
2-02.64%
2-13.98%
3-00.61%
3-10.91%
3-20.69%
4-00.10%
4-10.16%
4-20.12%
Draw
0-011.10%
1-111.55%
2-23.00%
3-30.35%
Boca Juniors
0-116.75%
0-212.63%
1-28.71%
0-36.35%
1-34.38%
2-31.51%
0-42.40%
1-41.65%
2-40.57%
3-40.13%
0-50.72%
1-50.50%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Boca Juniors
Score01234
0
36.14%
25.25%
8.82%
2.05%
0.36%
1
11.54%
8.06%
2.81%
0.66%
0.11%
2
1.84%
1.29%
0.45%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.20%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-011.54%
2-01.84%
2-11.29%
3-00.20%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-036.14%
1-18.06%
2-20.45%
Boca Juniors
0-125.25%
0-28.82%
1-22.81%
0-32.05%
1-30.66%
2-30.10%
0-40.36%
1-40.11%