Independiente at Sarmiento

Updated

Independiente

35.4%31.2%33.3%
Independiente WinDrawSarmiento Win
1.00Projected Goals 0.96
0Final Score 0

Sarmiento

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Godoy Cruz
W 2-0 at Lanus
W 1-3 vs Deportivo Riestra
T 1-1 at Tigre
T 0-0 vs Argentinos Jun
Sarmiento
Money Line
T 1-1 at Newell's OB
T 1-1 vs Gimnasia ELP
L 1-3 at CA Huracan
W 0-1 vs CA Union
L 3-1 vs CC Cordoba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+140-+115+120+120+120+120+130.9
Sarmiento+240-+320+325+325+325+325+346.1
Draw+180-+175+178+178+178+178+191.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+130.9
Sarmiento-----+346.1
Draw-----+191.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sarmiento: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Sarmiento ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo1¾-118-o1¾+100o1¾-103o1¾-103o1¾-103o1¾+100o1¾+106
Underu1¾-102-u1¾-120u1¾-117u1¾-117u1¾-117u1¾-117u1¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾+106
Under-----u1¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.0%
 
No61.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.07%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.67%
Exactly 61.11%
 
Exactly 127.60%
Exactly 317.69%
Exactly 53.40%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 036.78%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.40%
Exactly 36.14%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarmiento
Exactly 038.27%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.65%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.34%
Exactly 216.62%
Exactly 41.14%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 35.03%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 062.93%
Exactly 129.15%
Exactly 26.75%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarmiento
Exactly 064.10%
Exactly 128.51%
Exactly 26.34%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals13.37%
Wins by 3+ goals3.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Sarmiento
Wins by 2+ goals12.16%
Wins by 3+ goals3.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Sarmiento
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal22.02%
Wins by 2 goals9.58%
Wins by 3 goals2.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Sarmiento
Wins by 1 goal21.14%
Wins by 2 goals8.84%
Wins by 3 goals2.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.93%14.07%
1.558.33%41.67%
2.531.27%68.73%
3.513.59%86.41%
4.54.92%95.08%
5.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.22%36.78%
1.526.44%73.56%
2.58.04%91.96%
3.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Sarmiento Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.73%38.27%
1.524.97%75.03%
2.57.32%92.68%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.66%40.34%
1.523.04%76.96%
2.56.42%93.58%
3.51.39%98.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Sarmiento
Score01234
0
14.07%
13.52%
6.49%
2.08%
0.50%
1
14.08%
13.52%
6.49%
2.08%
0.50%
2
7.04%
6.76%
3.25%
1.04%
0.25%
3
2.35%
2.26%
1.08%
0.35%
0.08%
4
0.59%
0.56%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
Independiente
1-014.08%
2-07.04%
2-16.76%
3-02.35%
3-12.26%
3-21.08%
4-00.59%
4-10.56%
4-20.27%
Draw
0-014.07%
1-113.52%
2-23.25%
3-30.35%
Sarmiento
0-113.52%
0-26.49%
1-26.49%
0-32.08%
1-32.08%
2-31.04%
0-40.50%
1-40.50%
2-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Sarmiento
Score0123
0
40.34%
17.94%
3.99%
0.59%
1
18.68%
8.31%
1.85%
0.27%
2
4.33%
1.92%
0.43%
0.06%
3
0.67%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
Independiente
1-018.68%
2-04.33%
2-11.92%
3-00.67%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-040.34%
1-18.31%
2-20.43%
Sarmiento
0-117.94%
0-23.99%
1-21.85%
0-30.59%
1-30.27%
Independiente Rivadavia at Estudiantes
Tucuman at Godoy Cruz