Sao Paulo at Flamengo

Updated

Sao Paulo

14.3%20.3%65.4%
WinDrawFlamengo Win
0.82Projected Goals 2.02
1Final Score 2

Flamengo

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Fortaleza
W 0-1 vs Flamengo
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
W 1-0 at Bahia
T 0-0 vs Cuiaba
Flamengo
Money Line
W 2-1 at Atletico Goianiense
L 0-1 at Sao Paulo
W 1-2 vs Cuiaba
L 3-0 vs Atletico Mineiro
W 3-0 at America (MG)

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+420+472+440+480+468+480+480+508.9
Flamengo-145-139-140-140-142-140-139-125.0
Draw+275+252+260+240+247+240+260+257.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+508.9
Flamengo------125.0
Draw-----+257.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Flamengo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Flamengo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+101o2-131o2-122o2¼+110o2-127o2¼+110o2-122o2¼+119
Underu2½-119u2+111u2+102u2¼-130u2+105u2¼-130u2¼-130u2¼-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+119
Under-----u2¼-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.83%
Exactly 223.54%
Exactly 415.85%
Exactly 64.27%
Exactly 80.62%
 
Exactly 116.56%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 59.01%
Exactly 71.73%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 044.06%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.80%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 013.22%
Exactly 126.75%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.25%
Exactly 49.23%
Exactly 53.74%
Exactly 61.26%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.81%
Exactly 223.23%
Exactly 43.35%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.29%
Exactly 310.19%
Exactly 50.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 068.42%
Exactly 125.96%
Exactly 24.93%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 039.19%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.19%
Exactly 35.37%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals4.24%
Wins by 3+ goals0.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals40.64%
Wins by 3+ goals20.60%
Wins by 4+ goals8.62%
Wins by 5+ goals3.00%
Wins by 6+ goals0.85%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Flamengo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal9.99%
Wins by 2 goals3.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.67%
Wins by 2 goals20.04%
Wins by 3 goals11.98%
Wins by 4 goals5.62%
Wins by 5 goals2.15%
Wins by 6 goals0.69%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.17%5.83%
1.577.61%22.39%
2.554.07%45.93%
3.531.76%68.24%
4.515.90%84.10%
5.56.89%93.11%
6.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.94%44.06%
1.519.83%80.17%
2.55.03%94.97%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.78%13.22%
1.560.02%39.98%
2.532.96%67.04%
3.514.71%85.29%
4.55.48%94.52%
5.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.19%26.81%
1.537.89%62.11%
2.514.66%85.34%
3.54.47%95.53%
4.51.12%98.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Score012345
0
5.83%
11.79%
11.92%
8.04%
4.07%
1.65%
1
4.78%
9.66%
9.77%
6.59%
3.33%
1.35%
2
1.96%
3.96%
4.01%
2.70%
1.37%
0.55%
3
0.53%
1.08%
1.09%
0.74%
0.37%
0.15%
4
0.11%
0.22%
0.22%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
Sao Paulo
1-04.78%
2-01.96%
2-13.96%
3-00.53%
3-11.08%
3-21.09%
4-00.11%
4-10.22%
4-20.22%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-05.83%
1-19.66%
2-24.01%
3-30.74%
Flamengo
0-111.79%
0-211.92%
1-29.77%
0-38.04%
1-36.59%
2-32.70%
0-44.07%
1-43.33%
2-41.37%
3-40.37%
0-51.65%
1-51.35%
2-50.55%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Score012345
0
26.81%
25.12%
11.76%
3.67%
0.86%
0.16%
1
10.18%
9.53%
4.46%
1.39%
0.33%
0.06%
2
1.93%
1.81%
0.85%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.23%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-010.18%
2-01.93%
2-11.81%
3-00.24%
3-10.23%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-026.81%
1-19.53%
2-20.85%
Flamengo
0-125.12%
0-211.76%
1-24.46%
0-33.67%
1-31.39%
2-30.26%
0-40.86%
1-40.33%
0-50.16%