Chapecoense at Sao Paulo

Updated

Chapecoense

21.9%23.3%54.9%
Chapecoense WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.68Projected Goals 1.72
1Final Score 1

Sao Paulo

Last 2 Games

Chapecoense
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Ceara+215
L 1-3 at Palmeiras+950
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 0-1 at Atletico Mineiro+275
L 0-2 at Atletico Goianiense+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+1000-+775+740-+740+775-
Sao Paulo-315--265-323--323-265-
Draw+400-+390+410-+410+410-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+850----+770+770-
Sao Paulo-310-----275-275-
Draw+420----+390+390-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 50.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chapecoense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 50.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chapecoense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125-o2½-115o2½-114-o2½-114o2½-114-
Underu2¼+105-u2½-105u2½-106-u2½-106u2½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.04%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 412.57%
Exactly 62.42%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.73%
Exactly 320.92%
Exactly 56.04%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 050.40%
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 211.83%
Exactly 32.70%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 017.95%
Exactly 130.83%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 315.16%
Exactly 46.51%
Exactly 52.24%
Exactly 60.64%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.87%
Exactly 220.35%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.55%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 072.81%
Exactly 123.10%
Exactly 23.66%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 045.14%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.28%
Exactly 33.79%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals3.79%
Wins by 3+ goals0.71%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals35.54%
Wins by 3+ goals16.13%
Wins by 4+ goals5.96%
Wins by 5+ goals1.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Chapecoense
Sao Paulo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal10.63%
Wins by 2 goals3.08%
Wins by 3 goals0.63%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.66%
Wins by 2 goals19.41%
Wins by 3 goals10.17%
Wins by 4 goals4.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.37%
Wins by 6 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.96%9.04%
1.569.22%30.78%
2.543.11%56.89%
3.522.19%77.81%
4.59.63%90.37%
5.53.59%96.41%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.60%50.40%
1.515.07%84.93%
2.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.05%17.95%
1.551.23%48.77%
2.524.75%75.25%
3.59.59%90.41%
4.53.08%96.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.13%32.87%
1.530.56%69.44%
2.510.21%89.79%
3.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chapecoense
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
9.04%
15.54%
13.34%
7.64%
3.28%
1.13%
1
6.20%
10.65%
9.14%
5.24%
2.25%
0.77%
2
2.12%
3.65%
3.13%
1.79%
0.77%
0.26%
3
0.49%
0.83%
0.72%
0.41%
0.18%
0.06%
Chapecoense
1-06.20%
2-02.12%
2-13.65%
3-00.49%
3-10.83%
3-20.72%
Draw
0-09.04%
1-110.65%
2-23.13%
3-30.41%
Sao Paulo
0-115.54%
0-213.34%
1-29.14%
0-37.64%
1-35.24%
2-31.79%
0-43.28%
1-42.25%
2-40.77%
3-40.18%
0-51.13%
1-50.77%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Chapecoense
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
32.87%
26.14%
10.40%
2.76%
0.55%
1
10.43%
8.29%
3.30%
0.87%
0.17%
2
1.65%
1.32%
0.52%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.17%
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Chapecoense
1-010.43%
2-01.65%
2-11.32%
3-00.17%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-032.87%
1-18.29%
2-20.52%
Sao Paulo
0-126.14%
0-210.40%
1-23.30%
0-32.76%
1-30.87%
2-30.14%
0-40.55%
1-40.17%
Ceara at Chapecoense
Atletico Mineiro at Internacional