Gremio at Fortaleza

Updated

Gremio

27.8%26.3%45.9%
Gremio WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.48
0Final Score 1

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
L 0-1 at Santos+185
T 2-2 vs Cuiaba-190
L 2-1 vs Sport Recife-220
L 2-4 at Athletico Paranaense+160
W 1-0 at Flamengo+600
Fortaleza
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Flamengo+210
W 2-0 at Fluminense+220
L 3-0 vs Atletico Goianiense-165
W 1-0 at Sport Recife+110
L 0-1 at Internacional+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+200+360+295+372+341+295+372+389.3
Fortaleza+135-115-111-115-119-111-111-106.6
Draw+210+240+220+245+245+220+245+257.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+260----+335+335+389.3
Fortaleza+100-----115-115-106.6
Draw+265----+250+250+257.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 30.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 30.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+104o2¼+105o2¼+100o2¼+105-o2¼+100o2¼+105o2¼+112
Underu2¼-124u2¼-125u2¼-120u2¼-121-u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+112
Under-----u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.22%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 412.40%
Exactly 62.35%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.98%
Exactly 320.81%
Exactly 55.91%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 040.66%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.46%
Exactly 34.94%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 022.68%
Exactly 133.65%
Exactly 224.96%
Exactly 312.34%
Exactly 44.58%
Exactly 51.36%
Exactly 60.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.17%
Exactly 220.20%
Exactly 42.05%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.43%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 065.93%
Exactly 127.47%
Exactly 25.72%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 050.31%
Exactly 134.56%
Exactly 211.87%
Exactly 32.72%
Exactly 40.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals7.61%
Wins by 3+ goals1.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals25.65%
Wins by 3+ goals10.16%
Wins by 4+ goals3.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.81%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal15.22%
Wins by 2 goals5.70%
Wins by 3 goals1.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal25.09%
Wins by 2 goals15.49%
Wins by 3 goals6.94%
Wins by 4 goals2.41%
Wins by 5 goals0.68%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.78%9.22%
1.568.79%31.21%
2.542.60%57.40%
3.521.78%78.22%
4.59.38%90.62%
5.53.47%96.53%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.34%40.66%
1.522.75%77.25%
2.56.28%93.72%
3.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.32%22.68%
1.543.67%56.33%
2.518.70%81.30%
3.56.36%93.64%
4.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.83%33.17%
1.530.23%69.77%
2.510.03%89.97%
3.52.60%97.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
9.22%
13.68%
10.15%
5.02%
1.86%
0.55%
1
8.30%
12.31%
9.13%
4.52%
1.68%
0.50%
2
3.73%
5.54%
4.11%
2.03%
0.75%
0.22%
3
1.12%
1.66%
1.23%
0.61%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.25%
0.37%
0.28%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
Gremio
1-08.30%
2-03.73%
2-15.54%
3-01.12%
3-11.66%
3-21.23%
4-00.25%
4-10.37%
4-20.28%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-09.22%
1-112.31%
2-24.11%
3-30.61%
Fortaleza
0-113.68%
0-210.15%
1-29.13%
0-35.02%
1-34.52%
2-32.03%
0-41.86%
1-41.68%
2-40.75%
3-40.23%
0-50.55%
1-50.50%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
33.17%
22.78%
7.83%
1.79%
0.31%
1
13.82%
9.49%
3.26%
0.75%
0.13%
2
2.88%
1.98%
0.68%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.40%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-013.82%
2-02.88%
2-11.98%
3-00.40%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-033.17%
1-19.49%
2-20.68%
Fortaleza
0-122.78%
0-27.83%
1-23.26%
0-31.79%
1-30.75%
2-30.16%
0-40.31%
1-40.13%
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