Palmeiras at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Palmeiras

37.6%28.4%33.9%
Palmeiras WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.08
0Final Score 2

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Fortaleza-135
T 0-0 at Sao Paulo+170
W 0-1 vs Fluminense-160
W 3-0 at Atletico Goianiense-115
W 2-3 vs Santos-200
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 2-1 at Juventude+100
W 0-2 vs Athletico Paranaense-150
W 0-3 vs Bahia-155
W 2-1 at Corinthians+190
W 1-0 at America (MG)+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+251-+285+245+273+245+285-
Atletico Mineiro+104-+110+115+105+115+115-
Draw+251-+220+210+229+210+229-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+220----+270+270-
Atletico Mineiro+125----+110+110-
Draw+235----+230+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 40.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Palmeiras: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 40.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105-o2¼+100o2¼-106-o2¼-106o2¼+100-
Underu2½-115-u2¼-120u2¼-114-u2¼-114u2¼-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.20%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 411.54%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.29%
Exactly 320.22%
Exactly 55.27%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 030.12%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 221.69%
Exactly 38.67%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 033.87%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.85%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.76%
Exactly 219.41%
Exactly 41.81%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.84%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 057.37%
Exactly 131.88%
Exactly 28.85%
Exactly 31.64%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 060.58%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 27.61%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals16.55%
Wins by 3+ goals5.46%
Wins by 4+ goals1.43%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals12.83%
Wins by 3+ goals3.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal22.12%
Wins by 2 goals11.09%
Wins by 3 goals4.03%
Wins by 4 goals1.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal19.95%
Wins by 2 goals9.02%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.80%10.20%
1.566.51%33.49%
2.539.93%60.07%
3.519.71%80.29%
4.58.17%91.83%
5.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.88%30.12%
1.533.74%66.26%
2.512.05%87.95%
3.53.38%96.62%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.13%33.87%
1.529.46%70.54%
2.59.61%90.39%
3.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.24%34.76%
1.528.51%71.49%
2.59.10%90.90%
3.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
10.20%
11.05%
5.98%
2.16%
0.58%
0.13%
1
12.24%
13.25%
7.17%
2.59%
0.70%
0.15%
2
7.35%
7.95%
4.30%
1.55%
0.42%
0.09%
3
2.94%
3.18%
1.72%
0.62%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.88%
0.95%
0.52%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.21%
0.23%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-012.24%
2-07.35%
2-17.95%
3-02.94%
3-13.18%
3-21.72%
4-00.88%
4-10.95%
4-20.52%
4-30.19%
5-00.21%
5-10.23%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-010.20%
1-113.25%
2-24.30%
3-30.62%
Atletico Mineiro
0-111.05%
0-25.98%
1-27.17%
0-32.16%
1-32.59%
2-31.55%
0-40.58%
1-40.70%
2-40.42%
3-40.17%
0-50.13%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
Score0123
0
34.76%
17.42%
4.37%
0.73%
1
19.31%
9.68%
2.43%
0.41%
2
5.36%
2.69%
0.67%
0.11%
3
0.99%
0.50%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-019.31%
2-05.36%
2-12.69%
3-00.99%
3-10.50%
3-20.12%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-034.76%
1-19.68%
2-20.67%
Atletico Mineiro
0-117.42%
0-24.37%
1-22.43%
0-30.73%
1-30.41%
2-30.11%
Juventude at Bragantino
Gremio at Sao Paulo