Santos at Palmeiras

Updated

Santos

9.7%17.8%72.5%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.65Projected Goals 2.18
2Final Score 1

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Santos
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Vasco da Gama
W 2-1 at Bahia
L 3-0 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-2 at America (MG)
L 0-2 at Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras
Money Line
L 1-2 at Bragantino
L 0-1 at Gremio
W 0-1 vs Goias
T 0-0 at Corinthians
W 0-1 vs Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos+671+696+625+770+770+770+770+813.5
Palmeiras-220-217-225-230-230-230-217-197.4
Draw+349+334+340+320+320+320+340+341.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos-----+813.5
Palmeiras------197.4
Draw-----+341.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santos: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santos: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santos ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½-103o2½+102o2½-106o2½-106o2½-106o2½+102o2½+104
Underu2½-110u2½-113u2½-122u2½-114u2½-114u2½-114u2½-113u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.5%
 
No57.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.88%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 415.80%
Exactly 64.23%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.66%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.95%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 052.03%
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 211.10%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 011.30%
Exactly 124.63%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 319.52%
Exactly 410.64%
Exactly 54.64%
Exactly 61.69%
Exactly 70.53%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.93%
Exactly 223.18%
Exactly 43.33%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 310.14%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 073.90%
Exactly 122.35%
Exactly 23.38%
Exactly 30.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 036.44%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.57%
Exactly 36.25%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals2.37%
Wins by 3+ goals0.42%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals48.08%
Wins by 3+ goals26.17%
Wins by 4+ goals11.84%
Wins by 5+ goals4.52%
Wins by 6+ goals1.47%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Santos
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Santos
Wins by 1 goal7.30%
Wins by 2 goals1.96%
Wins by 3 goals0.37%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal24.39%
Wins by 2 goals21.91%
Wins by 3 goals14.33%
Wins by 4 goals7.32%
Wins by 5 goals3.05%
Wins by 6 goals1.07%
Wins by 7 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.12%5.88%
1.577.46%22.54%
2.553.86%46.14%
3.531.56%68.44%
4.515.76%84.24%
5.56.81%93.19%
6.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.97%52.03%
1.513.97%86.03%
2.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.70%11.30%
1.564.07%35.93%
2.537.21%62.79%
3.517.69%82.31%
4.57.04%92.96%
5.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.07%26.93%
1.537.75%62.25%
2.514.57%85.43%
3.54.43%95.57%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Santos
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
5.88%
12.82%
13.98%
10.16%
5.54%
2.42%
1
3.84%
8.37%
9.13%
6.64%
3.62%
1.58%
2
1.25%
2.74%
2.98%
2.17%
1.18%
0.52%
3
0.27%
0.60%
0.65%
0.47%
0.26%
0.11%
Santos
1-03.84%
2-01.25%
2-12.74%
3-00.27%
3-10.60%
3-20.65%
Draw
0-05.88%
1-18.37%
2-22.98%
3-30.47%
Palmeiras
0-112.82%
0-213.98%
1-29.13%
0-310.16%
1-36.64%
2-32.17%
0-45.54%
1-43.62%
2-41.18%
3-40.26%
0-52.42%
1-51.58%
2-50.52%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Santos
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
26.93%
27.18%
13.72%
4.62%
1.17%
0.24%
1
8.14%
8.22%
4.15%
1.40%
0.35%
0.07%
2
1.23%
1.24%
0.63%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.12%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Santos
1-08.14%
2-01.23%
2-11.24%
3-00.12%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-026.93%
1-18.22%
2-20.63%
Palmeiras
0-127.18%
0-213.72%
1-24.15%
0-34.62%
1-31.40%
2-30.21%
0-41.17%
1-40.35%
0-50.24%