Coritiba at Bahia

Updated

Coritiba

20.9%25.8%53.3%
Coritiba WinDrawBahia Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.53
1Final Score 3

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Coritiba
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo
L 3-0 vs Fortaleza
L 0-3 at Flamengo
L 1-2 at Cuiaba
T 2-2 vs Corinthians
Bahia
Money Line
W 1-0 at Vasco da Gama
L 2-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 1-2 at Bragantino
L 1-2 at Fortaleza+200
W 0-2 vs Fluminense+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Coritiba+261+405+380+435+432+435+435+461.9
Bahia+116-134-135-140-135-140-134-124.9
Draw+233+271+285+257+267+257+285+275.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Coritiba-----+461.9
Bahia------124.9
Draw-----+275.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Coritiba: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Coritiba: 20.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Coritiba: 10.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Coritiba ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+117o2½-101o2¼-125o2½+104o2½+103o2½+104o2¼-125o2½+113
Underu2½-139u2½-117u2¼+105u2½-124u2½-118u2½-124u2½-117u2½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+113
Under-----u2½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.27%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 412.36%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.05%
Exactly 320.79%
Exactly 55.88%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Coritiba
Exactly 042.77%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.43%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 021.67%
Exactly 133.14%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 312.91%
Exactly 44.94%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.24%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.40%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Coritiba
Exactly 067.48%
Exactly 126.54%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 049.26%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 212.35%
Exactly 32.91%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Coritiba
Wins by 2+ goals6.63%
Wins by 3+ goals1.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals27.59%
Wins by 3+ goals11.24%
Wins by 4+ goals3.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.95%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Coritiba
Bahia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Coritiba
Wins by 1 goal14.22%
Wins by 2 goals5.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal25.60%
Wins by 2 goals16.36%
Wins by 3 goals7.57%
Wins by 4 goals2.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.79%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.73%9.27%
1.568.69%31.31%
2.542.47%57.53%
3.521.68%78.32%
4.59.32%90.68%
5.53.44%96.56%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Coritiba Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.23%42.77%
1.520.91%79.09%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.33%21.67%
1.545.19%54.81%
2.519.85%80.15%
3.56.94%93.06%
4.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.76%33.24%
1.530.14%69.86%
2.59.98%90.02%
3.52.58%97.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Coritiba
Bahia
Score012345
0
9.27%
14.17%
10.84%
5.52%
2.11%
0.65%
1
7.87%
12.04%
9.20%
4.69%
1.79%
0.55%
2
3.34%
5.11%
3.91%
1.99%
0.76%
0.23%
3
0.95%
1.45%
1.11%
0.56%
0.22%
0.07%
4
0.20%
0.31%
0.24%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
Coritiba
1-07.87%
2-03.34%
2-15.11%
3-00.95%
3-11.45%
3-21.11%
4-00.20%
4-10.31%
4-20.24%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.27%
1-112.04%
2-23.91%
3-30.56%
Bahia
0-114.17%
0-210.84%
1-29.20%
0-35.52%
1-34.69%
2-31.99%
0-42.11%
1-41.79%
2-40.76%
3-40.22%
0-50.65%
1-50.55%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Coritiba
Bahia
Score01234
0
33.24%
23.54%
8.33%
1.97%
0.35%
1
13.07%
9.26%
3.28%
0.77%
0.14%
2
2.57%
1.82%
0.64%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.34%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Coritiba
1-013.07%
2-02.57%
2-11.82%
3-00.34%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-033.24%
1-19.26%
2-20.64%
Bahia
0-123.54%
0-28.33%
1-23.28%
0-31.97%
1-30.77%
2-30.15%
0-40.35%
1-40.14%