Athletico Paranaense at Santos

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

32.3%30.3%37.4%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawSantos Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 2

Santos

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fortaleza+110
W 4-1 at Fluminense+235
T 2-2 vs Chapecoense-185
L 1-2 at Bahia+200
W 1-2 vs Atletico Goianiense+105
Santos
Money Line
L 0-2 at America (MG)+255
T 0-0 vs Sport Recife-150
W 0-2 vs Atletico Mineiro+185
T 2-2 at Gremio+305
W 0-2 vs Sao Paulo+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+260+185+190+177+191+177+191-
Santos+112+159+170+157+170+157+170-
Draw+200+200+200+205+188+205+205-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+235----+195+195-
Santos+130----+160+160-
Draw+215----+205+205-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Santos: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Santos: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-111o2-124o2-115o2-122-o2-122o2-115-
Underu2-109u2-102u2+101u2+102-u2+102u2+102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.9%
 
No59.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.87%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 49.48%
Exactly 61.33%
 
Exactly 126.39%
Exactly 318.49%
Exactly 53.89%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 038.66%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.46%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 033.29%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.14%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.70%
Exactly 217.44%
Exactly 41.31%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 35.52%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 064.40%
Exactly 128.34%
Exactly 26.24%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 060.10%
Exactly 130.60%
Exactly 27.79%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals11.11%
Wins by 3+ goals2.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Santos
Wins by 2+ goals15.67%
Wins by 3+ goals4.80%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Santos
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal19.84%
Wins by 2 goals8.12%
Wins by 3 goals2.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Santos
Wins by 1 goal22.96%
Wins by 2 goals10.88%
Wins by 3 goals3.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.13%12.87%
1.560.74%39.26%
2.533.69%66.31%
3.515.20%84.80%
4.55.73%94.27%
5.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.34%38.66%
1.524.60%75.40%
2.57.14%92.86%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.71%33.29%
1.530.09%69.91%
2.59.95%90.05%
3.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.30%38.70%
1.524.56%75.44%
2.57.12%92.88%
3.51.60%98.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Santos
Score012345
0
12.87%
14.16%
7.78%
2.85%
0.78%
0.17%
1
12.23%
13.45%
7.40%
2.71%
0.75%
0.16%
2
5.81%
6.39%
3.52%
1.29%
0.35%
0.08%
3
1.84%
2.03%
1.11%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.44%
0.48%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-012.23%
2-05.81%
2-16.39%
3-01.84%
3-12.03%
3-21.11%
4-00.44%
4-10.48%
4-20.26%
Draw
0-012.87%
1-113.45%
2-23.52%
3-30.41%
Santos
0-114.16%
0-27.78%
1-27.40%
0-32.85%
1-32.71%
2-31.29%
0-40.78%
1-40.75%
2-40.35%
3-40.11%
0-50.17%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Santos
Score01234
0
38.70%
19.71%
5.02%
0.85%
0.11%
1
17.03%
8.67%
2.21%
0.37%
0.05%
2
3.75%
1.91%
0.49%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.55%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-017.03%
2-03.75%
2-11.91%
3-00.55%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-038.70%
1-18.67%
2-20.49%
Santos
0-119.71%
0-25.02%
1-22.21%
0-30.85%
1-30.37%
0-40.11%
Atletico Goianiense at Gremio
America (MG) at Fortaleza