Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras

Updated 129 days ago

07:00 PM • May 12, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

10.0%18.3%71.7%

WinDrawPalmeiras Win

0.65Projected Goals 2.13

2Final Score 0

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-1	5/05 vs Vasco da Gama
T 1-1	4/28 at Juventude
W 0-1	4/21 vs Internacional
L 0-2	4/17 at Gremio
W 0-4	4/14 vs Cuiaba

Palmeiras		Money Line
W 2-0	5/05 at Cuiaba
T 0-0	4/29 at Sao Paulo
T 0-0	4/21 vs Flamengo
L 1-0	4/17 vs Internacional
W 1-0	4/14 at Vitoria

Money Line Analysis

:4.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+420	-	+400	+405	+406	+405	+406	+430.2
Palmeiras	-155	-	-145	-144	-142	-144	-142	-128.4
Draw	+295	-	+280	+282	+275	+282	+282	+301.1

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+430.2
Palmeiras	-	-	-	-	-	-128.4
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+301.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Palmeiras: 40.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 50.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-108	-	o2¼-115	o2¼-115	o2¼-113	o2¼-115	o2¼-113	o2¼-104
Under	u2¼-112	-	u2¼-105	u2¼-105	u2¼-107	u2¼-105	u2¼-105	u2¼+104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.0%


No	58.0%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.23%
Exactly 2	24.00%
Exactly 4	15.41%
Exactly 6	3.96%
Exactly 8	0.54%


Exactly 1	17.29%
Exactly 3	22.21%
Exactly 5	8.56%
Exactly 7	1.57%
Exactly 9	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	52.32%
Exactly 1	33.89%
Exactly 2	10.98%
Exactly 3	2.37%
Exactly 4	0.38%

Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	11.91%
Exactly 1	25.34%
Exactly 2	26.96%
Exactly 3	19.12%
Exactly 4	10.17%
Exactly 5	4.33%
Exactly 6	1.54%
Exactly 7	0.47%
Exactly 8	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	27.66%
Exactly 2	22.84%
Exactly 4	3.14%
Exactly 6	0.17%


Exactly 1	35.55%
Exactly 3	9.79%
Exactly 5	0.81%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	74.09%
Exactly 1	22.22%
Exactly 2	3.33%
Exactly 3	0.33%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	37.33%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	18.12%
Exactly 3	5.95%
Exactly 4	1.47%
Exactly 5	0.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	2.44%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.43%

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals	46.92%
Wins by 3+ goals	25.11%
Wins by 4+ goals	11.14%
Wins by 5+ goals	4.17%
Wins by 6+ goals	1.33%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	7.53%
Wins by 2 goals	2.01%
Wins by 3 goals	0.38%

Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal	24.75%
Wins by 2 goals	21.81%
Wins by 3 goals	13.97%
Wins by 4 goals	6.97%
Wins by 5 goals	2.84%
Wins by 6 goals	0.98%
Wins by 7 goals	0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.77%	6.23%
1.5	76.48%	23.52%
2.5	52.47%	47.53%
3.5	30.27%	69.73%
4.5	14.86%	85.14%
5.5	6.30%	93.70%
6.5	2.34%	97.66%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	47.68%	52.32%
1.5	13.79%	86.21%
2.5	2.81%	97.19%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.09%	11.91%
1.5	62.75%	37.25%
2.5	35.79%	64.21%
3.5	16.67%	83.33%
4.5	6.49%	93.51%
5.5	2.16%	97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	72.34%	27.66%
1.5	36.79%	63.21%
2.5	13.95%	86.05%
3.5	4.16%	95.84%
4.5	1.02%	98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.23%	13.26%	14.11%	10.01%	5.32%	2.27%
1	4.04%	8.59%	9.14%	6.48%	3.45%	1.47%
2	1.31%	2.78%	2.96%	2.10%	1.12%	0.48%
3	0.28%	0.60%	0.64%	0.45%	0.24%	0.10%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	4.04%
2-0	1.31%
2-1	2.78%
3-0	0.28%
3-1	0.60%
3-2	0.64%

Draw
0-0	6.23%
1-1	8.59%
2-2	2.96%
3-3	0.45%

Palmeiras
0-1	13.26%
0-2	14.11%
1-2	9.14%
0-3	10.01%
1-3	6.48%
2-3	2.10%
0-4	5.32%
1-4	3.45%
2-4	1.12%
3-4	0.24%
0-5	2.27%
1-5	1.47%
2-5	0.48%
3-5	0.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	27.66%	27.25%	13.43%	4.41%	1.09%	0.21%
1	8.30%	8.17%	4.03%	1.32%	0.33%	0.06%
2	1.24%	1.23%	0.60%	0.20%	0.05%	0.01%
3	0.12%	0.12%	0.06%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	8.30%
2-0	1.24%
2-1	1.23%
3-0	0.12%
3-1	0.12%

Draw
0-0	27.66%
1-1	8.17%
2-2	0.60%

Palmeiras
0-1	27.25%
0-2	13.43%
1-2	4.03%
0-3	4.41%
1-3	1.32%
2-3	0.20%
0-4	1.09%
1-4	0.33%
0-5	0.21%

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Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras