Sao Paulo at Vasco da Gama

Updated

Sao Paulo

33.3%30.8%35.9%
Sao Paulo WinDrawVasco da Gama Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.03
1Final Score 4

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Cuiaba
T 2-2 at Corinthians
T 0-0 at Internacional
W 0-2 vs Cruzeiro
W 1-2 vs Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
Money Line
L 0-2 at Juventude
T 0-0 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-2 at Palmeiras
L 6-1 vs Flamengo
W 1-2 vs Vitoria

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+131+132+120+130+127+130+132+141.4
Vasco da Gama+224+241+260+240+241+240+241+256.8
Draw+234+217+220+212+215+212+220+227.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+141.4
Vasco da Gama-----+256.8
Draw-----+227.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2-121o2-118o2-120o2-118o2-120o2-118o2-109
Underu2+107u2+103u2-102u2+100u2-102u2+100u2+103u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.0%
 
No60.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.47%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 49.06%
Exactly 61.21%
 
Exactly 127.01%
Exactly 318.08%
Exactly 53.63%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 037.61%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.98%
Exactly 35.86%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 035.82%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.88%
Exactly 36.46%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.53%
Exactly 217.02%
Exactly 41.22%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 063.59%
Exactly 128.79%
Exactly 26.52%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 062.17%
Exactly 129.55%
Exactly 27.02%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals12.28%
Wins by 3+ goals3.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals13.77%
Wins by 3+ goals3.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal20.99%
Wins by 2 goals8.88%
Wins by 3 goals2.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal22.04%
Wins by 2 goals9.79%
Wins by 3 goals3.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.53%13.47%
1.559.52%40.48%
2.532.45%67.55%
3.514.37%85.63%
4.55.31%94.69%
5.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.39%37.61%
1.525.61%74.39%
2.57.63%92.37%
3.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.18%35.82%
1.527.40%72.60%
2.58.53%91.47%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.47%39.53%
1.523.78%76.22%
2.56.76%93.24%
3.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Score01234
0
13.47%
13.83%
7.10%
2.43%
0.62%
1
13.17%
13.53%
6.94%
2.38%
0.61%
2
6.44%
6.61%
3.39%
1.16%
0.30%
3
2.10%
2.16%
1.11%
0.38%
0.10%
4
0.51%
0.53%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
Sao Paulo
1-013.17%
2-06.44%
2-16.61%
3-02.10%
3-12.16%
3-21.11%
4-00.51%
4-10.53%
4-20.27%
Draw
0-013.47%
1-113.53%
2-23.39%
3-30.38%
Vasco da Gama
0-113.83%
0-27.10%
1-26.94%
0-32.43%
1-32.38%
2-31.16%
0-40.62%
1-40.61%
2-40.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Score0123
0
39.53%
18.79%
4.47%
0.71%
1
17.90%
8.51%
2.02%
0.32%
2
4.05%
1.93%
0.46%
0.07%
3
0.61%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-017.90%
2-04.05%
2-11.93%
3-00.61%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-039.53%
1-18.51%
2-20.46%
Vasco da Gama
0-118.79%
0-24.47%
1-22.02%
0-30.71%
1-30.32%
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