Flamengo at Fortaleza

Updated

Flamengo

38.9%28.1%33.0%
Flamengo WinDrawFortaleza Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.10
2Final Score 3

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Fluminense
T 1-1 at Goias
T 1-1 vs Ceara
W 1-0 at Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 at Palmeiras
Fortaleza
Money Line
T 1-1 at Juventude
L 1-2 at Fluminense
L 3-1 vs Botafogo RJ
W 1-0 at Sao Paulo
W 0-1 vs Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+120+161+155+167+154+167+167+171.8
Fortaleza+240+209+205+200+195+200+209+221.1
Draw+220+200+205+192+208+192+208+211.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo-----+171.8
Fortaleza-----+221.1
Draw-----+211.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-116o2-112o2-105-o2-105o2-105o2-100
Underu2¼-115u2-102u2-108u2-115-u2-115u2-102u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.78%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 411.91%
Exactly 62.15%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.73%
Exactly 320.48%
Exactly 55.54%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 029.43%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 033.22%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.17%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.08%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 41.91%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 056.76%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 060.04%
Exactly 130.63%
Exactly 27.81%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals16.84%
Wins by 3+ goals5.64%
Wins by 4+ goals1.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals13.00%
Wins by 3+ goals3.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Fortaleza
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal22.05%
Wins by 2 goals11.21%
Wins by 3 goals4.13%
Wins by 4 goals1.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal19.86%
Wins by 2 goals9.09%
Wins by 3 goals3.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.22%9.78%
1.567.49%32.51%
2.541.06%58.94%
3.520.58%79.42%
4.58.67%91.33%
5.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.57%29.43%
1.534.57%65.43%
2.512.56%87.44%
3.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.78%33.22%
1.530.17%69.83%
2.510.00%90.00%
3.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.92%34.08%
1.529.24%70.76%
2.59.49%90.51%
3.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
9.78%
10.77%
5.94%
2.18%
0.60%
0.13%
1
11.96%
13.18%
7.26%
2.67%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.31%
8.06%
4.44%
1.63%
0.45%
0.10%
3
2.98%
3.29%
1.81%
0.67%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.91%
1.00%
0.55%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.25%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-011.96%
2-07.31%
2-18.06%
3-02.98%
3-13.29%
3-21.81%
4-00.91%
4-11.00%
4-20.55%
4-30.20%
5-00.22%
5-10.25%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.78%
1-113.18%
2-24.44%
3-30.67%
Fortaleza
0-110.77%
0-25.94%
1-27.26%
0-32.18%
1-32.67%
2-31.63%
0-40.60%
1-40.73%
2-40.45%
3-40.18%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Fortaleza
Score0123
0
34.08%
17.39%
4.44%
0.75%
1
19.30%
9.85%
2.51%
0.43%
2
5.46%
2.79%
0.71%
0.12%
3
1.03%
0.53%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-019.30%
2-05.46%
2-12.79%
3-01.03%
3-10.53%
3-20.13%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-034.08%
1-19.85%
2-20.71%
Fortaleza
0-117.39%
0-24.44%
1-22.51%
0-30.75%
1-30.43%
2-30.12%