Athletico Paranaense at America (MG)

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

34.7%32.4%32.8%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
0.95Projected Goals 0.89
0Final Score 2

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Sport Recife-150
L 1-2 at Palmeiras+440
L 1-0 vs Corinthians+155
L 0-1 at Cuiaba+280
L 2-1 vs Sao Paulo+190
America (MG)
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Ceara+160
L 2-0 vs Bragantino+220
T 1-1 at Chapecoense+120
W 0-1 vs Fluminense+195
T 1-1 at Atletico Goianiense+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+207+215+196+220+203+196+220-
America (MG)+142+150+140+145+139+140+150-
Draw+212+205+205+220+221+205+221-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+210----+245+245-
America (MG)+140----+125+125-
Draw+220----+215+215-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 50.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110o2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼+102-o2¼+100o2¼+102-
Underu2-110u2¼-122u2¼-120u2¼-116-u2¼-120u2¼-116-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.2%
 
No63.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 015.88%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 47.59%
Exactly 60.86%
 
Exactly 129.22%
Exactly 316.49%
Exactly 52.79%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 038.83%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.37%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 040.88%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.35%
Exactly 34.88%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 042.65%
Exactly 215.48%
Exactly 40.94%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 064.53%
Exactly 128.26%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 066.09%
Exactly 127.37%
Exactly 25.67%
Exactly 30.78%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals12.80%
Wins by 3+ goals3.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals11.24%
Wins by 3+ goals2.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
America (MG)
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal22.33%
Wins by 2 goals9.33%
Wins by 3 goals2.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal21.12%
Wins by 2 goals8.34%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.12%15.88%
1.554.91%45.09%
2.528.02%71.98%
3.511.53%88.47%
4.53.94%96.06%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.17%38.83%
1.524.44%75.56%
2.57.06%92.94%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.12%40.88%
1.522.55%77.45%
2.56.19%93.81%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.35%42.65%
1.521.00%79.00%
2.55.52%94.48%
3.51.12%98.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
America (MG)
Score01234
0
15.88%
14.20%
6.35%
1.89%
0.42%
1
15.02%
13.43%
6.01%
1.79%
0.40%
2
7.10%
6.35%
2.84%
0.85%
0.19%
3
2.24%
2.00%
0.90%
0.27%
0.06%
4
0.53%
0.47%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-015.02%
2-07.10%
2-16.35%
3-02.24%
3-12.00%
3-20.90%
4-00.53%
4-10.47%
4-20.21%
Draw
0-015.88%
1-113.43%
2-22.84%
3-30.27%
America (MG)
0-114.20%
0-26.35%
1-26.01%
0-31.89%
1-31.79%
2-30.85%
0-40.42%
1-40.40%
2-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
America (MG)
Score0123
0
42.65%
17.66%
3.66%
0.50%
1
18.68%
7.74%
1.60%
0.22%
2
4.09%
1.69%
0.35%
0.05%
3
0.60%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-018.68%
2-04.09%
2-11.69%
3-00.60%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-042.65%
1-17.74%
2-20.35%
America (MG)
0-117.66%
0-23.66%
1-21.60%
0-30.50%
1-30.22%