Palmeiras at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Palmeiras

23.2%25.3%51.5%
Palmeiras WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.58
1Final Score 0

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Santos
W 1-2 vs Juventude
T 2-2 at Bragantino
T 1-1 at Fluminense
T 1-1 vs Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
L 0-1 at Avaí
T 1-1 vs Bragantino
W 2-0 at Atletico Goianiense
T 1-1 at America (MG)
L 1-0 vs Goias

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+220+351+320+370+322+370+370+389.9
Atletico Mineiro+130-110-110-115-114-115-110-103.6
Draw+215+241+220+230+245+230+245+248.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-----+389.9
Atletico Mineiro------103.6
Draw-----+248.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 10.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2-140o2¼+105o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2¼+105o2-129
Underu2¼-110u2+118u2¼-125u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-120u2+129
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-129
Under-----u2+129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.87%
Exactly 225.43%
Exactly 413.69%
Exactly 62.95%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.01%
Exactly 321.55%
Exactly 56.96%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 038.03%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.77%
Exactly 35.73%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 020.70%
Exactly 132.60%
Exactly 225.68%
Exactly 313.48%
Exactly 45.31%
Exactly 51.67%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.82%
Exactly 221.35%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.37%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 063.91%
Exactly 128.61%
Exactly 26.40%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 048.22%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 212.82%
Exactly 33.12%
Exactly 40.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals8.07%
Wins by 3+ goals2.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals26.84%
Wins by 3+ goals11.08%
Wins by 4+ goals3.68%
Wins by 5+ goals0.96%
Wins by 6+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal15.08%
Wins by 2 goals5.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal24.56%
Wins by 2 goals15.77%
Wins by 3 goals7.40%
Wins by 4 goals2.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Wins by 6 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.13%7.87%
1.572.12%27.88%
2.546.69%53.31%
3.525.14%74.86%
4.511.45%88.55%
5.54.49%95.51%
6.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.97%38.03%
1.525.20%74.80%
2.57.43%92.57%
3.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.30%20.70%
1.546.70%53.30%
2.521.02%78.98%
3.57.54%92.46%
4.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.18%30.82%
1.532.90%67.10%
2.511.55%88.45%
3.53.18%96.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
7.87%
12.40%
9.76%
5.13%
2.02%
0.64%
1
7.61%
11.99%
9.44%
4.96%
1.95%
0.61%
2
3.68%
5.79%
4.56%
2.40%
0.94%
0.30%
3
1.19%
1.87%
1.47%
0.77%
0.30%
0.10%
4
0.29%
0.45%
0.36%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Palmeiras
1-07.61%
2-03.68%
2-15.79%
3-01.19%
3-11.87%
3-21.47%
4-00.29%
4-10.45%
4-20.36%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.87%
1-111.99%
2-24.56%
3-30.77%
Atletico Mineiro
0-112.40%
0-29.76%
1-29.44%
0-35.13%
1-34.96%
2-32.40%
0-42.02%
1-41.95%
2-40.94%
3-40.30%
0-50.64%
1-50.61%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
Score01234
0
30.82%
22.48%
8.20%
1.99%
0.36%
1
13.80%
10.06%
3.67%
0.89%
0.16%
2
3.09%
2.25%
0.82%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.46%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-013.80%
2-03.09%
2-12.25%
3-00.46%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-030.82%
1-110.06%
2-20.82%
Atletico Mineiro
0-122.48%
0-28.20%
1-23.67%
0-31.99%
1-30.89%
2-30.20%
0-40.36%
1-40.16%