Fortaleza at Santos

Updated

Fortaleza

32.8%30.1%37.1%
Fortaleza WinDrawSantos Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.08
2Final Score 1

Santos

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Goias
W 2-1 at Bragantino
T 2-2 vs Palmeiras
T 2-2 vs Botafogo RJ
L 1-0 vs Cruzeiro
Santos
Money Line
L 0-3 at Athletico Paranaense
L 3-0 vs Fluminense
T 1-1 at Botafogo RJ
T 0-0 vs Sao Paulo
W 1-0 at Goias

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+320+336+300+341+339+341+341+362.5
Santos-110-103+100-113-114-113-103-102.4
Draw+255+230+235+243+243+243+243+259.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+362.5
Santos------102.4
Draw-----+259.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 40.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-134o2-128o2¼+104o2¼+106o2¼+104o2-128o2¼+113
Underu2¼-102u2+114u2+108u2¼-124u2¼-128u2¼-124u2¼-124u2¼-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+113
Under-----u2¼-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.46%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 49.77%
Exactly 61.41%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.95%
Exactly 318.76%
Exactly 54.07%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 036.81%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.38%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 033.85%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.13%
Exactly 217.72%
Exactly 41.37%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 062.96%
Exactly 129.13%
Exactly 26.74%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 060.56%
Exactly 130.37%
Exactly 27.62%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals12.22%
Wins by 3+ goals3.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Santos
Wins by 2+ goals14.79%
Wins by 3+ goals4.46%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Santos
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal20.52%
Wins by 2 goals8.79%
Wins by 3 goals2.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Santos
Wins by 1 goal22.25%
Wins by 2 goals10.33%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.54%12.46%
1.561.59%38.41%
2.534.57%65.43%
3.515.81%84.19%
4.56.04%93.96%
5.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.19%36.81%
1.526.40%73.60%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.15%33.85%
1.529.48%70.52%
2.59.62%90.38%
3.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.87%38.13%
1.525.11%74.89%
2.57.38%92.62%
3.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Santos
Score012345
0
12.46%
13.50%
7.31%
2.64%
0.71%
0.15%
1
12.45%
13.49%
7.31%
2.64%
0.71%
0.15%
2
6.22%
6.74%
3.65%
1.32%
0.36%
0.08%
3
2.07%
2.25%
1.22%
0.44%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.52%
0.56%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-012.45%
2-06.22%
2-16.74%
3-02.07%
3-12.25%
3-21.22%
4-00.52%
4-10.56%
4-20.30%
4-30.11%
5-00.10%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-012.46%
1-113.49%
2-23.65%
3-30.44%
Santos
0-113.50%
0-27.31%
1-27.31%
0-32.64%
1-32.64%
2-31.32%
0-40.71%
1-40.71%
2-40.36%
3-40.12%
0-50.15%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Santos
Score01234
0
38.13%
19.12%
4.80%
0.80%
0.10%
1
17.64%
8.85%
2.22%
0.37%
0.05%
2
4.08%
2.05%
0.51%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.63%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-017.64%
2-04.08%
2-12.05%
3-00.63%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-038.13%
1-18.85%
2-20.51%
Santos
0-119.12%
0-24.80%
1-22.22%
0-30.80%
1-30.37%
0-40.10%
America (MG) at Goias
Bragantino at Vasco da Gama