Santos at Fluminense

Updated

Santos

14.8%23.0%62.2%
WinDrawFluminense Win
0.71Projected Goals 1.75
0Final Score 1

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Santos
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Botafogo RJ
L 1-4 at Sao Paulo
W 3-4 vs Goias
L 0-3 at Cuiaba
L 3-2 vs Flamengo
Fluminense
Money Line
L 0-2 at Coritiba
T 0-0 vs Flamengo
W 0-2 vs Internacional
L 0-1 at Sao Paulo
W 1-2 vs Bahia

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos+478+570+525+620+723+620+723+656.3
Fluminense-146-176-185-190-219-190-176-165.7
Draw+267+296+310+290+327+290+327+309.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos-----+656.3
Fluminense------165.7
Draw-----+309.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santos: 20.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santos: 60.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santos ML
No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-144o2½+118o2¼-105o2¼-110o2¼-114o2¼-110o2¼-105o2¼+100
Underu2+122u2½-138u2¼-115u2¼-110u2¼-102u2¼-110u2½-138u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.2%
 
No57.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.50%
Exactly 225.83%
Exactly 413.08%
Exactly 62.65%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.96%
Exactly 321.22%
Exactly 56.45%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 048.91%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.51%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 017.38%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 315.52%
Exactly 46.79%
Exactly 52.38%
Exactly 60.69%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.94%
Exactly 220.80%
Exactly 42.26%
 
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 37.91%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 071.81%
Exactly 123.78%
Exactly 23.94%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 044.48%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 214.60%
Exactly 33.94%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals4.00%
Wins by 3+ goals0.77%
Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals35.80%
Wins by 3+ goals16.44%
Wins by 4+ goals6.15%
Wins by 5+ goals1.91%
Wins by 6+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Santos
Fluminense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Santos
Wins by 1 goal10.76%
Wins by 2 goals3.22%
Wins by 3 goals0.68%
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal26.34%
Wins by 2 goals19.37%
Wins by 3 goals10.28%
Wins by 4 goals4.24%
Wins by 5 goals1.43%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.50%8.50%
1.570.54%29.46%
2.544.72%55.28%
3.523.50%76.50%
4.510.42%89.58%
5.53.97%96.03%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.09%48.91%
1.516.11%83.89%
2.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.62%17.38%
1.552.21%47.79%
2.525.60%74.40%
3.510.08%89.92%
4.53.29%96.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.06%31.94%
1.531.60%68.40%
2.510.80%89.20%
3.52.89%97.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Santos
Fluminense
Score012345
0
8.50%
14.88%
13.01%
7.59%
3.32%
1.16%
1
6.08%
10.64%
9.31%
5.43%
2.37%
0.83%
2
2.17%
3.80%
3.33%
1.94%
0.85%
0.30%
3
0.52%
0.91%
0.79%
0.46%
0.20%
0.07%
Santos
1-06.08%
2-02.17%
2-13.80%
3-00.52%
3-10.91%
3-20.79%
Draw
0-08.50%
1-110.64%
2-23.33%
3-30.46%
Fluminense
0-114.88%
0-213.01%
1-29.31%
0-37.59%
1-35.43%
2-31.94%
0-43.32%
1-42.37%
2-40.85%
3-40.20%
0-51.16%
1-50.83%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Santos
Fluminense
Score01234
0
31.94%
25.88%
10.48%
2.83%
0.57%
1
10.58%
8.57%
3.47%
0.94%
0.19%
2
1.75%
1.42%
0.57%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.19%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Santos
1-010.58%
2-01.75%
2-11.42%
3-00.19%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-031.94%
1-18.57%
2-20.57%
Fluminense
0-125.88%
0-210.48%
1-23.47%
0-32.83%
1-30.94%
2-30.16%
0-40.57%
1-40.19%