Sturm Graz at Lille

Updated

Sturm Graz

7.4%13.9%78.7%
WinDrawLille Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.62
2Final Score 3

Lille

Last 5 Games

Sturm Graz
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Girona+275
L 0-1 at Dortmund+1175
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+740
L 1-0 vs Club Brugge+350
L 1-2 at Brest+300
Lille
Money Line
W 2-1 at Bologna+235
T 1-1 vs Juventus+200
W 3-1 at Atletico Madrid+675
W 0-1 vs Real Madrid+400
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+575

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sturm Graz+510+586+550+600+572+600+600+624.5
Lille-187-204-205-203-211-203-203-183.5
Draw+345+349+350+350+338+350+350+365.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sturm Graz+465-+575+500+490+575+575+624.5
Lille-205--210-210-215-210-210-183.5
Draw+320-+340+325+325+345+345+365.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Lille: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sturm Graz ML moved from +600 to +580
Lille ML moved from -198 to -204

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Lille: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sturm Graz ML moved from +615 to +575
Lille ML moved from -200 to -210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-139o2½-123o2½-120o2½-120o2½-117o2½-120o2½-117o2½-109
Underu2½+118u2½+105u2½+100u2½+100u2½-103u2½+100u2½+105u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-115o2½-120o2½-115o2½-120o2½-120o2½-115o2½-109
Underu2½+105u2½-105u2½+100u2½-105u2½-110u2½+100u2½+100u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.68%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 418.23%
Exactly 66.63%
Exactly 81.29%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.15%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 512.04%
Exactly 73.13%
Exactly 90.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Sturm Graz
Exactly 050.39%
Exactly 134.54%
Exactly 211.83%
Exactly 32.70%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Lille
Exactly 07.30%
Exactly 119.11%
Exactly 225.00%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 414.27%
Exactly 57.47%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 80.40%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.68%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 44.94%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.14%
Exactly 312.91%
Exactly 51.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sturm Graz
Exactly 072.81%
Exactly 123.10%
Exactly 23.67%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lille
Exactly 029.77%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 38.83%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sturm Graz
Wins by 2+ goals1.82%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%
Lille
Wins by 2+ goals57.35%
Wins by 3+ goals35.31%
Wins by 4+ goals18.41%
Wins by 5+ goals8.22%
Wins by 6+ goals3.18%
Wins by 7+ goals1.06%
Wins by 8+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Sturm Graz
Lille
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sturm Graz
Wins by 1 goal5.56%
Wins by 2 goals1.50%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%
Lille
Wins by 1 goal21.27%
Wins by 2 goals22.04%
Wins by 3 goals16.90%
Wins by 4 goals10.19%
Wins by 5 goals5.04%
Wins by 6 goals2.11%
Wins by 7 goals0.77%
Wins by 8 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.32%3.68%
1.584.17%15.83%
2.564.10%35.90%
3.542.02%57.98%
4.523.78%76.22%
5.511.74%88.26%
6.55.11%94.89%
7.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Sturm Graz Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.61%50.39%
1.515.07%84.93%
2.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals Lille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.70%7.30%
1.573.59%26.41%
2.548.58%51.42%
3.526.77%73.23%
4.512.50%87.50%
5.55.03%94.97%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.32%21.68%
1.545.18%54.82%
2.519.85%80.15%
3.56.93%93.07%
4.52.00%98.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sturm Graz
Lille
Score012345
0
3.68%
9.63%
12.60%
10.99%
7.19%
3.76%
1
2.52%
6.60%
8.64%
7.53%
4.93%
2.58%
2
0.86%
2.26%
2.96%
2.58%
1.69%
0.88%
3
0.20%
0.52%
0.68%
0.59%
0.39%
0.20%
Sturm Graz
1-02.52%
2-00.86%
2-12.26%
3-00.20%
3-10.52%
3-20.68%
Draw
0-03.68%
1-16.60%
2-22.96%
3-30.59%
Lille
0-19.63%
0-212.60%
1-28.64%
0-310.99%
1-37.53%
2-32.58%
0-47.19%
1-44.93%
2-41.69%
3-40.39%
0-53.76%
1-52.58%
2-50.88%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Sturm Graz
Lille
Score012345
0
21.68%
26.26%
15.91%
6.43%
1.95%
0.47%
1
6.88%
8.33%
5.05%
2.04%
0.62%
0.15%
2
1.09%
1.32%
0.80%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sturm Graz
1-06.88%
2-01.09%
2-11.32%
3-00.12%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-021.68%
1-18.33%
2-20.80%
Lille
0-126.26%
0-215.91%
1-25.05%
0-36.43%
1-32.04%
2-30.32%
0-41.95%
1-40.62%
0-50.47%
1-50.15%