Newcastle Utd at Milan

Updated

Newcastle United

23.5%24.8%51.7%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawMilan Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.62
0Final Score 0

Milan

Last Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
Milan
Money Line
L 0-1 at Inter+220
L 2-0 vs Inter+235
T 1-1 at Napoli+350
W 0-1 vs Napoli+172
T 0-0 at Tottenham+360

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+184+185+175-+190-+190-
Milan+141+167+165-+162-+167-
Draw+266+218+220-+210-+220-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+170-+175-+155+180+180-
Milan+120-+167-+140+170+170-
Draw+230-+218-+230+210+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +172 to +164
Milan ML moved from +177 to +168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +178 to +169
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o2-138o2¼+100-o2¼+105-o2-138-
Underu3-127u2+116u2¼-120-u2¼-121-u2¼-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o2½+125o2½+138-o2½+120o2½+130o2½+130-
Underu3-145u2½-145u2½-158-u2½-150u2½-150u2½-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-112 to u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-120 to u2½-150

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.19%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 414.39%
Exactly 63.33%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.92%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.58%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 036.47%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.55%
Exactly 36.24%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 019.71%
Exactly 132.01%
Exactly 225.99%
Exactly 314.07%
Exactly 45.71%
Exactly 51.86%
Exactly 60.50%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.55%
Exactly 221.96%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 062.69%
Exactly 129.28%
Exactly 26.84%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 047.14%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 213.33%
Exactly 33.34%
Exactly 40.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals8.40%
Wins by 3+ goals2.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals27.47%
Wins by 3+ goals11.63%
Wins by 4+ goals4.02%
Wins by 5+ goals1.15%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Milan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal15.05%
Wins by 2 goals6.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals15.84%
Wins by 3 goals7.61%
Wins by 4 goals2.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.81%7.19%
1.573.89%26.11%
2.548.98%51.02%
3.527.12%72.88%
4.512.73%87.27%
5.55.15%94.85%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.53%36.47%
1.526.74%73.26%
2.58.19%91.81%
3.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.29%19.71%
1.548.29%51.71%
2.522.29%77.71%
3.58.22%91.78%
4.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.45%29.55%
1.534.43%65.57%
2.512.47%87.53%
3.53.54%96.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Milan
Score012345
0
7.19%
11.67%
9.48%
5.13%
2.08%
0.68%
1
7.25%
11.77%
9.56%
5.18%
2.10%
0.68%
2
3.66%
5.94%
4.82%
2.61%
1.06%
0.34%
3
1.23%
2.00%
1.62%
0.88%
0.36%
0.12%
4
0.31%
0.50%
0.41%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
Newcastle United
1-07.25%
2-03.66%
2-15.94%
3-01.23%
3-12.00%
3-21.62%
4-00.31%
4-10.50%
4-20.41%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-07.19%
1-111.77%
2-24.82%
3-30.88%
Milan
0-111.67%
0-29.48%
1-29.56%
0-35.13%
1-35.18%
2-32.61%
0-42.08%
1-42.10%
2-41.06%
3-40.36%
0-50.68%
1-50.68%
2-50.34%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Milan
Score01234
0
29.55%
22.22%
8.36%
2.09%
0.39%
1
13.80%
10.38%
3.90%
0.98%
0.18%
2
3.22%
2.42%
0.91%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.50%
0.38%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-013.80%
2-03.22%
2-12.42%
3-00.50%
3-10.38%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.55%
1-110.38%
2-20.91%
Milan
0-122.22%
0-28.36%
1-23.90%
0-32.09%
1-30.98%
2-30.23%
0-40.39%
1-40.18%