Dortmund at Chelsea

Updated

Dortmund

23.8%23.1%53.1%
Dortmund WinDrawChelsea Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.81
0Final Score 2

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Chelsea+130
T 1-1 at FC Copenhagen-140
T 0-0 vs Manchester City+380
T 1-1 vs Sevilla-245
W 4-1 at Sevilla+130
Chelsea
Money Line
L 0-1 at Dortmund+220
W 1-2 vs Dinamo Zagreb-485
W 2-1 at RB Salzburg-136
W 2-0 at Milan+130
W 0-3 vs Milan-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+362+361+370+400+406+400+406+417.5
Chelsea-131-136-150-147-142-147-136-135.3
Draw+290+306+320+317+320+317+320+331.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+355-+385-+300+360+385+417.5
Chelsea-135--145--140-140-140-135.3
Draw+290-+301-+290+300+301+331.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +395 to +385
Chelsea ML moved from -128 to -134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +366 to +355
Chelsea ML moved from -132 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-124o3+116o2¾-112o2¾-112o2½-139o2¾-112o2½-139o2¾-102
Underu2½+104u3-136u2¾-108u2¾-108u2½+124u2¾-108u3-136u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-135o2½-138-o2½-140o2½-140o2½-135o2¾-102
Underu2½+105u2½+115u2½+118-u2½+110u2½+120u2½+120u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%
 
No43.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.25%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 416.50%
Exactly 64.78%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.47%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.73%
Exactly 72.01%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 032.09%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.73%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 016.35%
Exactly 129.61%
Exactly 226.81%
Exactly 316.18%
Exactly 47.33%
Exactly 52.65%
Exactly 60.80%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.55%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 43.69%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.86%
Exactly 310.82%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 059.08%
Exactly 131.09%
Exactly 28.18%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 043.24%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.20%
Exactly 34.25%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals9.07%
Wins by 3+ goals2.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals29.83%
Wins by 3+ goals13.57%
Wins by 4+ goals5.09%
Wins by 5+ goals1.59%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal14.60%
Wins by 2 goals6.39%
Wins by 3 goals2.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.27%
Wins by 2 goals16.25%
Wins by 3 goals8.48%
Wins by 4 goals3.50%
Wins by 5 goals1.19%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.75%5.25%
1.579.29%20.71%
2.556.50%43.50%
3.534.10%65.90%
4.517.60%82.40%
5.57.87%92.13%
6.53.09%96.91%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.91%32.09%
1.531.43%68.57%
2.510.70%89.30%
3.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.65%16.35%
1.554.04%45.96%
2.527.23%72.77%
3.511.05%88.95%
4.53.72%96.28%
5.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.45%25.55%
1.539.59%60.41%
2.515.80%84.20%
3.54.98%95.02%
4.51.29%98.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Chelsea
Score012345
0
5.25%
9.50%
8.60%
5.19%
2.35%
0.85%
1
5.96%
10.80%
9.78%
5.90%
2.67%
0.97%
2
3.39%
6.14%
5.56%
3.35%
1.52%
0.55%
3
1.28%
2.32%
2.11%
1.27%
0.58%
0.21%
4
0.36%
0.66%
0.60%
0.36%
0.16%
0.06%
Dortmund
1-05.96%
2-03.39%
2-16.14%
3-01.28%
3-12.32%
3-22.11%
4-00.36%
4-10.66%
4-20.60%
4-30.36%
Draw
0-05.25%
1-110.80%
2-25.56%
3-31.27%
4-40.16%
Chelsea
0-19.50%
0-28.60%
1-29.78%
0-35.19%
1-35.90%
2-33.35%
0-42.35%
1-42.67%
2-41.52%
3-40.58%
0-50.85%
1-50.97%
2-50.55%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Chelsea
Score01234
0
25.55%
21.42%
8.98%
2.51%
0.53%
1
13.44%
11.27%
4.73%
1.32%
0.28%
2
3.54%
2.97%
1.24%
0.35%
0.07%
3
0.62%
0.52%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
Dortmund
1-013.44%
2-03.54%
2-12.97%
3-00.62%
3-10.52%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-025.55%
1-111.27%
2-21.24%
Chelsea
0-121.42%
0-28.98%
1-24.73%
0-32.51%
1-31.32%
2-30.35%
0-40.53%
1-40.28%