Benfica at Paris S-G

Updated

Benfica

13.9%19.2%66.9%
WinDrawParis S-G Win
0.87Projected Goals 2.16
1Final Score 1

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Paris Saint-Germain+275
W 2-1 at Juventus+220
W 0-3 vs Dynamo Kyiv-300
W 2-0 at Dynamo Kyiv-170
W 3-1 at Midtjylland-135
Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
T 1-1 at Benfica-112
W 1-2 vs Juventus-325
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+166
W 0-1 vs Real Madrid-112
W 1-4 vs Club Brugge-375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+625-+460+515+643+515+643+557.6
Paris S-G-290--200-195-288-195-195-184.0
Draw+460-+380+375+428+375+428+399.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+690-+575-+500+550+575+557.6
Paris S-G-270--240--280-230-230-184.0
Draw+415-+404-+345+400+404+399.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 10.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +525 to +515
Paris S-G ML moved from -190 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 10.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +560 to +550
Paris S-G ML moved from -260 to -280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108-o3¼+102o3¼+105-o3¼+105o3¼+105o3-119
Underu3½-112-u3¼-122u3¼-125-u3¼-125u3¼-122u3+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+120o3-125o3-130-o3-140o3-130o3-125o3-119
Underu3½-140u3+105u3+110-u3+110u3+110u3+110u3+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.84%
Exactly 222.19%
Exactly 416.96%
Exactly 65.19%
Exactly 80.85%
 
Exactly 114.65%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.28%
Exactly 72.24%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 041.90%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.85%
Exactly 34.60%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 011.54%
Exactly 124.92%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 319.36%
Exactly 410.45%
Exactly 54.51%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 70.50%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.60%
Exactly 224.19%
Exactly 43.96%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 311.31%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 066.85%
Exactly 126.92%
Exactly 25.42%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 036.80%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.39%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals4.28%
Wins by 3+ goals1.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals43.00%
Wins by 3+ goals22.79%
Wins by 4+ goals10.07%
Wins by 5+ goals3.77%
Wins by 6+ goals1.20%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Paris Saint-Germain
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal9.61%
Wins by 2 goals3.28%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals20.21%
Wins by 3 goals12.72%
Wins by 4 goals6.31%
Wins by 5 goals2.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.88%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.16%4.84%
1.580.51%19.49%
2.558.33%41.67%
3.535.93%64.07%
4.518.96%81.04%
5.58.69%91.31%
6.53.50%96.50%
7.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.10%41.90%
1.521.65%78.35%
2.55.80%94.20%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.46%11.54%
1.563.53%36.47%
2.536.63%63.37%
3.517.26%82.74%
4.56.81%93.19%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.40%24.60%
1.540.90%59.10%
2.516.71%83.29%
3.55.40%94.60%
4.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
4.84%
10.44%
11.27%
8.11%
4.38%
1.89%
1
4.21%
9.08%
9.81%
7.06%
3.81%
1.64%
2
1.83%
3.95%
4.27%
3.07%
1.66%
0.72%
3
0.53%
1.15%
1.24%
0.89%
0.48%
0.21%
4
0.12%
0.25%
0.27%
0.19%
0.10%
0.05%
Benfica
1-04.21%
2-01.83%
2-13.95%
3-00.53%
3-11.15%
3-21.24%
4-00.12%
4-10.25%
4-20.27%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-04.84%
1-19.08%
2-24.27%
3-30.89%
4-40.10%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-110.44%
0-211.27%
1-29.81%
0-38.11%
1-37.06%
2-33.07%
0-44.38%
1-43.81%
2-41.66%
3-40.48%
0-51.89%
1-51.64%
2-50.72%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
24.60%
24.59%
12.29%
4.10%
1.02%
0.20%
1
9.91%
9.91%
4.95%
1.65%
0.41%
0.08%
2
2.00%
1.99%
1.00%
0.33%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.27%
0.27%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-09.91%
2-02.00%
2-11.99%
3-00.27%
3-10.27%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-024.60%
1-19.91%
2-21.00%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-124.59%
0-212.29%
1-24.95%
0-34.10%
1-31.65%
2-30.33%
0-41.02%
1-40.41%
0-50.20%