Real Sociedad at Benfica

Updated

Real Sociedad

21.9%24.3%53.7%
Real Sociedad WinDrawBenfica Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.67
1Final Score 0

Benfica

Last Games

Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 2-0 at RB Salzburg+165
T 1-1 vs Inter+200
Benfica
Money Line
L 0-1 at Inter+463
L 2-0 vs RB Salzburg-225
T 3-3 at Inter+255
L 2-0 vs Inter+138
W 1-5 vs Club Brugge-288

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+256+240+225+255+255+255+255+267.6
Benfica+112+126+125+121+121+121+126+128.8
Draw+247+231+230+232+232+232+232+243.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+220-+245-+220+240+245+267.6
Benfica+100-+120-+100+120+120+128.8
Draw+230-+230-+230+230+230+243.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Benfica: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Real Sociedad: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +223 to +217
Benfica ML moved from +137 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Benfica: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Real Sociedad: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +225 to +215
Benfica ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-104o2½+108o2¼-118o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-104
Underu2½-114u2½-128u2¼-102u2¼-106u2¼-106u2¼-106u2½-128u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+115o2½+120-o2½+110o2½+120o2½+120o2¼-104
Underu2½-130u2½-135u2½-140-u2½-140u2½-140u2½-135u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.14%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 414.44%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.85%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.62%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 037.88%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 018.86%
Exactly 131.46%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 314.59%
Exactly 46.08%
Exactly 52.03%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.47%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 063.80%
Exactly 128.67%
Exactly 26.44%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 046.19%
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 213.78%
Exactly 33.55%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals7.59%
Wins by 3+ goals2.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals29.15%
Wins by 3+ goals12.64%
Wins by 4+ goals4.47%
Wins by 5+ goals1.31%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Sociedad
Benfica
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal14.29%
Wins by 2 goals5.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.60%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.55%
Wins by 2 goals16.52%
Wins by 3 goals8.16%
Wins by 4 goals3.16%
Wins by 5 goals1.00%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.86%7.14%
1.574.00%26.00%
2.549.13%50.87%
3.527.25%72.75%
4.512.81%87.19%
5.55.19%94.81%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.12%37.88%
1.525.35%74.65%
2.57.50%92.50%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.14%18.86%
1.549.68%50.32%
2.523.44%76.56%
3.58.85%91.15%
4.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.53%29.47%
1.534.52%65.48%
2.512.53%87.47%
3.53.57%96.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Sociedad
Benfica
Score012345
0
7.14%
11.92%
9.94%
5.53%
2.30%
0.77%
1
6.94%
11.57%
9.65%
5.37%
2.24%
0.75%
2
3.37%
5.62%
4.68%
2.60%
1.09%
0.36%
3
1.09%
1.82%
1.52%
0.84%
0.35%
0.12%
4
0.26%
0.44%
0.37%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
Real Sociedad
1-06.94%
2-03.37%
2-15.62%
3-01.09%
3-11.82%
3-21.52%
4-00.26%
4-10.44%
4-20.37%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-07.14%
1-111.57%
2-24.68%
3-30.84%
Benfica
0-111.92%
0-29.94%
1-29.65%
0-35.53%
1-35.37%
2-32.60%
0-42.30%
1-42.24%
2-41.09%
3-40.35%
0-50.77%
1-50.75%
2-50.36%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Sociedad
Benfica
Score01234
0
29.47%
22.76%
8.79%
2.26%
0.44%
1
13.25%
10.23%
3.95%
1.02%
0.20%
2
2.98%
2.30%
0.89%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.45%
0.34%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Real Sociedad
1-013.25%
2-02.98%
2-12.30%
3-00.45%
3-10.34%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-029.47%
1-110.23%
2-20.89%
Benfica
0-122.76%
0-28.79%
1-23.95%
0-32.26%
1-31.02%
2-30.23%
0-40.44%
1-40.20%
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