Bayern Munich at Aston Villa

Updated

Bayern Munich

46.0%25.0%29.0%
Bayern Munich WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.57Projected Goals 1.19
0Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last Games

Bayern Munich
Money Line
W 2-9 vs Dinamo Zagreb-1000
L 1-2 at Real Madrid+285
T 2-2 vs Real Madrid+125
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+164
T 2-2 at Arsenal+430
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 3-0 at Young Boys-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bayern Munich-118-141-150-142-147-142-141-130.8
Aston Villa+299+356+370+375+374+375+375+391.8
Draw+304+323+320+320+326+320+326+334.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bayern Munich-135--145--150-150-145-130.8
Aston Villa+307-+340-+305+350+350+391.8
Draw+320-+328-+310+340+328+334.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bayern Munich ML moved from -138 to -145
Aston Villa ML moved from +352 to +345

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bayern Munich: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bayern Munich ML moved from -135 to -145
Aston Villa ML moved from +335 to +322

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-134o3-125o3¼+100o3¼+102o3-112o3¼+102o3-112o3¼+111
Underu3+114u3+107u3¼-120u3¼-122u3-102u3¼-122u3¼-120u3¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-125o3-115-o3-125o3-125o3-115o3¼+111
Underu3+110u3+105u3-105-u3-105u3+105u3+105u3¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+110
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.0%
 
No45.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.36%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 415.27%
Exactly 63.86%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.52%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 58.41%
Exactly 71.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayern Munich
Exactly 020.91%
Exactly 132.72%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 313.36%
Exactly 45.23%
Exactly 51.64%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 030.41%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.92%
Exactly 222.72%
Exactly 43.08%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 39.66%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayern Munich
Exactly 048.45%
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 212.72%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 057.63%
Exactly 131.76%
Exactly 28.75%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayern Munich
Wins by 2+ goals23.30%
Wins by 3+ goals9.40%
Wins by 4+ goals3.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.78%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals11.78%
Wins by 3+ goals3.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayern Munich
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bayern Munich
Wins by 1 goal22.59%
Wins by 2 goals13.90%
Wins by 3 goals6.34%
Wins by 4 goals2.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.65%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal17.18%
Wins by 2 goals8.04%
Wins by 3 goals2.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.64%6.36%
1.576.12%23.88%
2.551.98%48.02%
3.529.81%70.19%
4.514.54%85.46%
5.56.13%93.87%
6.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Bayern Munich Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.09%20.91%
1.546.37%53.63%
2.520.76%79.24%
3.57.41%92.59%
4.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.59%30.41%
1.533.39%66.61%
2.511.84%88.16%
3.53.29%96.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.08%27.92%
1.536.45%63.55%
2.513.73%86.27%
3.54.07%95.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bayern Munich
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.36%
7.57%
4.51%
1.79%
0.53%
0.13%
1
9.95%
11.85%
7.05%
2.80%
0.83%
0.20%
2
7.79%
9.27%
5.52%
2.19%
0.65%
0.16%
3
4.06%
4.84%
2.88%
1.14%
0.34%
0.08%
4
1.59%
1.89%
1.13%
0.45%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.50%
0.59%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Bayern Munich
1-09.95%
2-07.79%
2-19.27%
3-04.06%
3-14.84%
3-22.88%
4-01.59%
4-11.89%
4-21.13%
4-30.45%
5-00.50%
5-10.59%
5-20.35%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.36%
1-111.85%
2-25.52%
3-31.14%
4-40.13%
Aston Villa
0-17.57%
0-24.51%
1-27.05%
0-31.79%
1-32.80%
2-32.19%
0-40.53%
1-40.83%
2-40.65%
3-40.34%
0-50.13%
1-50.20%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Bayern Munich
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
27.92%
15.39%
4.24%
0.78%
0.11%
1
20.23%
11.15%
3.07%
0.56%
0.08%
2
7.33%
4.04%
1.11%
0.20%
0.03%
3
1.77%
0.98%
0.27%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.32%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayern Munich
1-020.23%
2-07.33%
2-14.04%
3-01.77%
3-10.98%
3-20.27%
4-00.32%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-027.92%
1-111.15%
2-21.11%
Aston Villa
0-115.39%
0-24.24%
1-23.07%
0-30.78%
1-30.56%
2-30.20%
0-40.11%