Porto at Chelsea

Updated

Porto

29.7%24.6%45.7%
Porto WinDrawChelsea Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.64
1Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 2 Games

Porto
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Chelsea+440
L 2-3 at Juventus+550
Chelsea
Money Line
W 2-0 at Porto-135
W 0-2 vs Atletico Madrid+132

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+412+320+355+370+354+370+370-
Chelsea-153-117-125-130-133-130-117-
Draw+285+260+270+289+272+289+289-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+330-+358-+285+375+375-
Chelsea-125--130--135-135-130-
Draw+280-+272-+240+280+280-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 30.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +365 to +355
Chelsea ML moved from -127 to -133

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Porto: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 30.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +300 to +285
Chelsea ML moved from -120 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-107o2½+105o2½+103-o2½+103o2½+105-
Underu2½-120u2½-115u2½-125u2½-123-u2½-123u2½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-105o2½-102-o2½-110o2½+100o2½+100-
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-118-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%
 
No47.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.66%
Exactly 224.44%
Exactly 414.94%
Exactly 63.65%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.05%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 58.09%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 034.43%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 019.35%
Exactly 131.78%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 314.29%
Exactly 45.87%
Exactly 51.93%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.54%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 39.38%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 061.04%
Exactly 130.13%
Exactly 27.44%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 046.75%
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 213.51%
Exactly 33.43%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals9.14%
Wins by 3+ goals2.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals27.00%
Wins by 3+ goals11.48%
Wins by 4+ goals3.99%
Wins by 5+ goals1.15%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Porto
Wins by 1 goal15.43%
Wins by 2 goals6.54%
Wins by 3 goals2.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals15.52%
Wins by 3 goals7.49%
Wins by 4 goals2.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.34%6.66%
1.575.29%24.71%
2.550.84%49.16%
3.528.78%71.22%
4.513.83%86.17%
5.55.74%94.26%
6.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.57%34.43%
1.528.86%71.14%
2.59.29%90.71%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.65%19.35%
1.548.86%51.14%
2.522.76%77.24%
3.58.47%91.53%
4.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.46%28.54%
1.535.68%64.32%
2.513.24%86.76%
3.53.86%96.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Chelsea
Score012345
0
6.66%
10.94%
8.99%
4.92%
2.02%
0.66%
1
7.11%
11.67%
9.58%
5.24%
2.15%
0.71%
2
3.79%
6.22%
5.11%
2.80%
1.15%
0.38%
3
1.35%
2.21%
1.82%
0.99%
0.41%
0.13%
4
0.36%
0.59%
0.48%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
Porto
1-07.11%
2-03.79%
2-16.22%
3-01.35%
3-12.21%
3-21.82%
4-00.36%
4-10.59%
4-20.48%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.66%
1-111.67%
2-25.11%
3-30.99%
4-40.11%
Chelsea
0-110.94%
0-28.99%
1-29.58%
0-34.92%
1-35.24%
2-32.80%
0-42.02%
1-42.15%
2-41.15%
3-40.41%
0-50.66%
1-50.71%
2-50.38%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Chelsea
Score01234
0
28.54%
21.70%
8.25%
2.09%
0.40%
1
14.09%
10.71%
4.07%
1.03%
0.20%
2
3.48%
2.64%
1.01%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.57%
0.43%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Porto
1-014.09%
2-03.48%
2-12.64%
3-00.57%
3-10.43%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-028.54%
1-110.71%
2-21.01%
Chelsea
0-121.70%
0-28.25%
1-24.07%
0-32.09%
1-31.03%
2-30.25%
0-40.40%
1-40.20%
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