Dortmund at Ajax

Updated

Dortmund

28.4%22.4%49.2%
Dortmund WinDrawAjax Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.89
0Final Score 4

Ajax

Last Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sporting CP-219
W 2-1 at Besiktas-200
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+475
L 1-2 at Manchester City+950
T 2-2 vs Sevilla+127
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Besiktas-950
W 5-1 at Sporting CP+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+190+200+205+214+203+205+214+220.9
Ajax+125+115+120+125+111+120+125+129.9
Draw+285+295+295+286+289+295+295+294.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+200-+202-+185+210+210+220.9
Ajax+115-+118-+100+110+118+129.9
Draw+300-+280-+260+295+295+294.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +214 to +203
Ajax ML moved from +118 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +217 to +192
Ajax ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102o3½-102o3½-114o3½+105-o3½-114o3½+105o3½+110
Underu3¼-118u3½-118u3½-106u3½-116-u3½-106u3½-106u3½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3½+100o3½-101-o3½-105o3½+100o3½+100o3½+110
Underu3+110u3½-120u3½-119-u3½-125u3½-120u3½-119u3½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-109 to o3½+104
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.3%
 
No43.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.09%
Exactly 222.57%
Exactly 416.68%
Exactly 64.93%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.16%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.93%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 033.62%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.97%
Exactly 37.26%
Exactly 41.98%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 015.15%
Exactly 128.59%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 316.97%
Exactly 48.01%
Exactly 53.02%
Exactly 60.95%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.19%
Exactly 223.94%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 311.00%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 060.37%
Exactly 130.47%
Exactly 27.69%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 041.73%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.94%
Exactly 34.64%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals7.98%
Wins by 3+ goals2.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals32.37%
Wins by 3+ goals15.25%
Wins by 4+ goals5.93%
Wins by 5+ goals1.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal13.59%
Wins by 2 goals5.71%
Wins by 3 goals1.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.53%
Wins by 2 goals17.13%
Wins by 3 goals9.32%
Wins by 4 goals4.01%
Wins by 5 goals1.42%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.91%5.09%
1.579.75%20.25%
2.557.18%42.82%
3.534.77%65.23%
4.518.10%81.90%
5.58.17%91.83%
6.53.24%96.76%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.38%33.62%
1.529.73%70.27%
2.59.76%90.24%
3.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.85%15.15%
1.556.27%43.73%
2.529.29%70.71%
3.512.32%87.68%
4.54.31%95.69%
5.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.81%25.19%
1.540.08%59.92%
2.516.14%83.86%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Ajax
Score012345
0
5.09%
9.61%
9.07%
5.71%
2.69%
1.02%
1
5.55%
10.48%
9.89%
6.22%
2.94%
1.11%
2
3.03%
5.71%
5.39%
3.39%
1.60%
0.60%
3
1.10%
2.07%
1.96%
1.23%
0.58%
0.22%
4
0.30%
0.57%
0.53%
0.34%
0.16%
0.06%
Dortmund
1-05.55%
2-03.03%
2-15.71%
3-01.10%
3-12.07%
3-21.96%
4-00.30%
4-10.57%
4-20.53%
4-30.34%
Draw
0-05.09%
1-110.48%
2-25.39%
3-31.23%
4-40.16%
Ajax
0-19.61%
0-29.07%
1-29.89%
0-35.71%
1-36.22%
2-33.39%
0-42.69%
1-42.94%
2-41.60%
3-40.58%
0-51.02%
1-51.11%
2-50.60%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Ajax
Score012345
0
25.19%
22.02%
9.62%
2.80%
0.61%
0.11%
1
12.71%
11.11%
4.86%
1.41%
0.31%
0.05%
2
3.21%
2.80%
1.23%
0.36%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.54%
0.47%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-012.71%
2-03.21%
2-12.80%
3-00.54%
3-10.47%
3-20.21%
Draw
0-025.19%
1-111.11%
2-21.23%
Ajax
0-122.02%
0-29.62%
1-24.86%
0-32.80%
1-31.41%
2-30.36%
0-40.61%
1-40.31%
0-50.11%