Napoli at Braga

Updated

Napoli

49.3%25.0%25.7%
Napoli WinDrawBraga Win
1.59Projected Goals 1.08
2Final Score 1

Braga

Last Games

Napoli
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Milan+100
L 0-1 at Milan+189
W 0-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt-250
W 2-0 at Eintracht Frankfurt+118
L 0-2 at Liverpool+267
Braga
Money Line
W 1-0 at Panathinaikos+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-112-139--150-150-150-139-137.7
Braga+299+377-+410+410+410+410+428.3
Draw+282+303-+317+317+317+317+332.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-145--150--150-145-145-137.7
Braga+285-+380-+315+350+380+428.3
Draw+260-+310-+270+325+325+332.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Braga: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -140 to -150
Braga ML moved from +350 to +340

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -140 to -150
Braga ML moved from +345 to +325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+118o3+120-o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o3+120o2¾-104
Underu3-140u3-142-u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3+110o3+122-o3+100o2½-140o2½-140o2¾-104
Underu3-145u3-130u3-142-u3-130u2½+120u3-130u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-121 to o2¾-108
The Under moved from u2¾-116 to u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-125 to o3+100
The Under moved from u3-145 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.90%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 414.70%
Exactly 63.50%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.44%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 57.86%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 020.29%
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 313.72%
Exactly 45.47%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 033.99%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.99%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 39.17%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 047.78%
Exactly 135.29%
Exactly 213.03%
Exactly 33.21%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 060.67%
Exactly 130.32%
Exactly 27.57%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals25.69%
Wins by 3+ goals10.67%
Wins by 4+ goals3.62%
Wins by 5+ goals1.02%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals9.65%
Wins by 3+ goals2.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Braga
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal23.61%
Wins by 2 goals15.02%
Wins by 3 goals7.05%
Wins by 4 goals2.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal15.97%
Wins by 2 goals6.87%
Wins by 3 goals2.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.10%6.90%
1.574.66%25.34%
2.550.01%49.99%
3.528.03%71.97%
4.513.33%86.67%
5.55.47%94.53%
6.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.71%20.29%
1.547.35%52.65%
2.521.54%78.46%
3.57.81%92.19%
4.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.01%33.99%
1.529.33%70.67%
2.59.54%90.46%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.01%28.99%
1.535.11%64.89%
2.512.89%87.11%
3.53.72%96.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Braga
Score01234
0
6.90%
7.44%
4.02%
1.44%
0.39%
1
11.00%
11.87%
6.40%
2.30%
0.62%
2
8.77%
9.47%
5.11%
1.84%
0.50%
3
4.66%
5.03%
2.72%
0.98%
0.26%
4
1.86%
2.01%
1.08%
0.39%
0.11%
5
0.59%
0.64%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
Napoli
1-011.00%
2-08.77%
2-19.47%
3-04.66%
3-15.03%
3-22.72%
4-01.86%
4-12.01%
4-21.08%
4-30.39%
5-00.59%
5-10.64%
5-20.35%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.90%
1-111.87%
2-25.11%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Braga
0-17.44%
0-24.02%
1-26.40%
0-31.44%
1-32.30%
2-31.84%
0-40.39%
1-40.62%
2-40.50%
3-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Braga
Score0123
0
28.99%
14.49%
3.62%
0.60%
1
21.41%
10.70%
2.67%
0.45%
2
7.91%
3.95%
0.99%
0.16%
3
1.95%
0.97%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.36%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Napoli
1-021.41%
2-07.91%
2-13.95%
3-01.95%
3-10.97%
3-20.24%
4-00.36%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-028.99%
1-110.70%
2-20.99%
Braga
0-114.49%
0-23.62%
1-22.67%
0-30.60%
1-30.45%
2-30.16%