Copa Del Rey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Las Palmas
Elche 		30.4%
40.3%		29.3%
+240
+129

0.98
1.18		2.16
o2-145
u2¼-116

Leganes
Cartagena 		32.8%
37.7%		29.5%
+105
+313

1.03
1.12		2.15
o2-112
u2+101

Real Sociedad
Ponferradina 		59.3%
17.3%		23.3%
-203
+629

1.74
0.82		2.56
o2¼-122
u2½-123

Volatility Bet Value Active
Celta Vigo
Racing Sant 		57.0%
18.1%		24.9%
-106
+288

1.60
0.78		2.38
o2½-139
u2¾-109

Games for Jan 4, 2025
Games for Jan 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Girona
Elche		30.0%
41.2%		28.7%
+117
+253
-135
+270
2
0		-0.79341-0.67336-1.20287
Getafe
Espanyol		32.4%
37.5%		30.0%
+153
+215
+130
+165
1
0		-0.94843-0.95039-1.12655
Atletico Madrid
Lugo		77.3%
7.1%		15.6%
-442
+1600

3
1		-0.22836-0.25745
CD Mirandes
Lugo		27.6%
45.1%		27.3%
+266
+113
+190
+115
0
2		-0.79567-0.88537-0.79624
Cartagena
Alcorcon		35.4%
35.1%		29.5%
+282
+120

5
4		-1.37251-1.03911
Valladolid
Espanyol		25.6%
48.1%		26.3%
+309
+105
+205
+105
1
3		-0.73978-0.83845-0.73172
Oviedo
Castellon		46.3%
24.5%		29.2%
+215
+142
+200
+115
1
2		-0.92143-0.88440-1.40727
Valencia
UD Logrones		72.3%
9.4%		18.2%
-348
+933

2
0		-0.29180-0.32368
Osasuna
Real Madrid		5.7%
81.9%		12.4%
+900
-288
+760
-310
1
2		-0.31712-0.33081-0.19939
Real Madrid
Barcelona		30.0%
43.1%		26.9%
+175
+163
+178
+155
4
0		-1.03606-1.05243-1.20371
Osasuna
Athletic Club		14.6%
63.6%		21.8%
+616
-186
+600
-185
1
1		-1.42553-1.39849-1.52409
Barcelona
Real Madrid		21.2%
55.1%		23.7%
+315
-109
+330
-120
1
0		-1.45895-1.50575-1.55249
Athletic Club
Osasuna		40.6%
30.5%		28.9%
+135
+255
+135
+235
0
1		-1.29733-1.25956-1.18826
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid		15.8%
62.0%		22.3%
+330
-101
+335
-115
1
3		-0.70635-0.67495-0.47863
Athletic Club
Valencia		34.6%
36.4%		29.0%
+152
+212
+165
+185
3
1		-0.94990-1.02413-1.06210
Sevilla
Osasuna		29.7%
41.5%		28.8%
+212
+159
+210
+150
1
2		-0.97841-0.96551-0.87895
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks44-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66814 
Sportsbooks40-0-0 (0.500)4 
DRatings43-1-0 (0.750)0-0.73578
-0.06765

Predictions Methodology

The Copa del Rey is the top domestic cup in the country of Spain. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top five divisions of Spanish football: La Liga, La Liga 2, and the three divisions that follow. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues.