Copa Del Rey Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
UD Logrones		76.3%
7.1%		16.6%
-343
+1150

4
3		-0.29519-0.27037
Sevilla
Almeria		37.9%
33.3%		28.8%
+167
+162

1
4		-1.00114-1.09874
Osasuna
Tenerife		44.4%
26.9%		28.7%
+122
+273

2
1		-0.83681-0.81101
Betis
Huesca		46.6%
26.3%		27.1%
-154
+480

1
0		-0.53941-0.76301
Getafe
Granada		29.0%
42.2%		28.9%
+163
+205

1
0		-1.00545-1.23891
Castellon
Ponferradina		14.0%
63.3%		22.7%
+187
+165

1
2		-1.01214-0.45659
Girona
UD Logrones		68.7%
11.1%		20.2%
-253
+724

3
4		-2.14678-2.19687
Sporting Gijon
Racing Sant		33.0%
33.3%		33.8%
+240
+121

0
1		-0.83209-1.10033
Granada
Zaragoza		44.7%
27.4%		27.8%
+301
+106

5
4		-1.42072-0.80529
Eibar
UD Logrones		48.7%
22.9%		28.4%
-106
+380

0
1		-1.58548-1.47591
Sporting Gijon
Numancia		34.6%
34.2%		31.2%
+118
+265

1
0		-0.81801-1.06025
Mallorca
Athletic Club		9.6%
72.3%		18.1%
+490
-129
+478
-130
2
4		-0.60217-0.60237-0.32473
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club		33.8%
35.8%		30.4%
+183
+162
+190
+160
0
3		-0.98776-0.98746-1.02842
Mallorca
Real Sociedad		11.1%
69.8%		19.0%
+709
-179
+675
-186
5
4		-2.11594-2.09273-2.19436
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid		16.5%
60.0%		23.6%
+339
-110
+340
-110
1
0		-1.51286-1.52175-1.80460
Real Sociedad
Mallorca		48.0%
24.8%		27.2%
+124
+348
+118
+325
0
0		-1.06299-1.09121-1.30273
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks44-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66814 
Sportsbooks40-0-0 (0.500)4 
DRatings43-1-0 (0.750)0-0.73578
-0.06765

Predictions Methodology

The Copa del Rey is the top domestic cup in the country of Spain. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top five divisions of Spanish football: La Liga, La Liga 2, and the three divisions that follow. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues.