Nacional at Libertad

Updated

Nacional

21.5%16.7%61.9%
Nacional WinDrawLibertad Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.41
0Final Score 1

Libertad

Last 2 Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Guarani-160
W 2-0 at Guarani+190
Libertad
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Univ Catolica-175
W 1-0 at Univ Catolica+475

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+203+219+220+200+231+200+231-
Libertad+138+132+125+123+125+123+132-
Draw+213+205+205+194+219+194+219-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+265----+245+245-
Libertad+110----+130+130-
Draw+230----+205+205-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Libertad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Libertad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Libertad ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Libertad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Libertad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Libertad ML

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-120o2-120o2-116-o2-116-
Underu2-105u2+100u2-104-u2-104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.87%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 418.03%
Exactly 66.36%
Exactly 81.20%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.58%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 511.73%
Exactly 72.95%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 043.25%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.19%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 08.94%
Exactly 121.59%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 320.98%
Exactly 412.66%
Exactly 56.11%
Exactly 62.46%
Exactly 70.85%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.18%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 44.75%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 312.63%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 067.84%
Exactly 126.32%
Exactly 25.11%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 032.70%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.43%
Exactly 37.61%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals3.27%
Wins by 3+ goals0.74%
Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals49.55%
Wins by 3+ goals28.46%
Wins by 4+ goals13.76%
Wins by 5+ goals5.66%
Wins by 6+ goals1.98%
Wins by 7+ goals0.57%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Libertad
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal7.83%
Wins by 2 goals2.54%
Wins by 3 goals0.61%
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals21.08%
Wins by 3 goals14.70%
Wins by 4 goals8.10%
Wins by 5 goals3.68%
Wins by 6 goals1.41%
Wins by 7 goals0.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.13%3.87%
1.583.55%16.45%
2.563.09%36.91%
3.540.91%59.09%
4.522.88%77.12%
5.511.15%88.85%
6.54.79%95.21%
7.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.75%43.25%
1.520.50%79.50%
2.55.31%94.69%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.06%8.94%
1.569.47%30.53%
2.543.40%56.60%
3.522.43%77.57%
4.59.77%90.23%
5.53.65%96.35%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.82%22.18%
1.544.41%55.59%
2.519.26%80.74%
3.56.64%93.36%
4.51.89%98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Libertad
Score012345
0
3.87%
9.34%
11.27%
9.07%
5.48%
2.64%
1
3.24%
7.83%
9.45%
7.60%
4.59%
2.22%
2
1.36%
3.28%
3.96%
3.19%
1.92%
0.93%
3
0.38%
0.92%
1.11%
0.89%
0.54%
0.26%
Nacional
1-03.24%
2-01.36%
2-13.28%
3-00.38%
3-10.92%
3-21.11%
Draw
0-03.87%
1-17.83%
2-23.96%
3-30.89%
4-40.11%
Libertad
0-19.34%
0-211.27%
1-29.45%
0-39.07%
1-37.60%
2-33.19%
0-45.48%
1-44.59%
2-41.92%
3-40.54%
0-52.64%
1-52.22%
2-50.93%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Libertad
Score012345
0
22.18%
24.80%
13.86%
5.16%
1.44%
0.32%
1
8.61%
9.62%
5.38%
2.00%
0.56%
0.13%
2
1.67%
1.87%
1.04%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.22%
0.24%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Nacional
1-08.61%
2-01.67%
2-11.87%
3-00.22%
3-10.24%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-022.18%
1-19.62%
2-21.04%
Libertad
0-124.80%
0-213.86%
1-25.38%
0-35.16%
1-32.00%
2-30.39%
0-41.44%
1-40.56%
2-40.11%
0-50.32%
1-50.13%