Estudiantes at Nacional

Updated

Estudiantes

39.5%30.3%30.2%
Estudiantes WinDrawNacional Win
1.11Projected Goals 0.93
0Final Score 0

Nacional

Last Games

Estudiantes
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Velez Sarsf
W 1-0 at CD Everton
Nacional
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Argentinos Jun-125
W 0-1 vs Univ Catolica+155
T 0-0 at Nacional+400
L 1-3 at Univ Catolica+250
T 4-4 vs Nacional+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes+185+165+170+172+159+170+172+180.9
Nacional+160+185+170+185+174+170+185+192.4
Draw+215+195+225+221+223+225+225+231.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes-----+180.9
Nacional-----+192.4
Draw-----+231.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estudiantes: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estudiantes: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estudiantes: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estudiantes ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-128o2¼-105o2¼+100o2-148-o2¼+100o2¼+100o2-133
Underu2+108u2¼-115u2¼-120u2+128-u2¼-120u2¼-115u2+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-133
Under-----u2+133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.6%
 
No59.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.98%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.40%
Exactly 61.31%
 
Exactly 126.50%
Exactly 318.41%
Exactly 53.84%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Estudiantes
Exactly 032.93%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 039.41%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.09%
Exactly 35.30%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.85%
Exactly 217.36%
Exactly 41.29%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 35.47%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estudiantes
Exactly 059.80%
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 27.91%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 064.98%
Exactly 128.01%
Exactly 26.04%
Exactly 30.87%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estudiantes
Wins by 2+ goals16.13%
Wins by 3+ goals4.98%
Wins by 4+ goals1.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals10.65%
Wins by 3+ goals2.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Estudiantes
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Estudiantes
Wins by 1 goal23.27%
Wins by 2 goals11.15%
Wins by 3 goals3.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal19.51%
Wins by 2 goals7.84%
Wins by 3 goals2.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.02%12.98%
1.560.52%39.48%
2.533.46%66.54%
3.515.05%84.95%
4.55.65%94.35%
5.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Estudiantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.07%32.93%
1.530.49%69.51%
2.510.17%89.83%
3.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.59%39.41%
1.523.89%76.11%
2.56.81%93.19%
3.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.15%38.85%
1.524.42%75.58%
2.57.05%92.95%
3.51.58%98.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estudiantes
Nacional
Score01234
0
12.98%
12.09%
5.63%
1.75%
0.41%
1
14.42%
13.42%
6.25%
1.94%
0.45%
2
8.01%
7.45%
3.47%
1.08%
0.25%
3
2.96%
2.76%
1.28%
0.40%
0.09%
4
0.82%
0.77%
0.36%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.18%
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Estudiantes
1-014.42%
2-08.01%
2-17.45%
3-02.96%
3-12.76%
3-21.28%
4-00.82%
4-10.77%
4-20.36%
4-30.11%
5-00.18%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-012.98%
1-113.42%
2-23.47%
3-30.40%
Nacional
0-112.09%
0-25.63%
1-26.25%
0-31.75%
1-31.94%
2-31.08%
0-40.41%
1-40.45%
2-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Estudiantes
Nacional
Score0123
0
38.85%
16.75%
3.61%
0.52%
1
19.98%
8.61%
1.86%
0.27%
2
5.14%
2.21%
0.48%
0.07%
3
0.88%
0.38%
0.08%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Estudiantes
1-019.98%
2-05.14%
2-12.21%
3-00.88%
3-10.38%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-038.85%
1-18.61%
2-20.48%
Nacional
0-116.75%
0-23.61%
1-21.86%
0-30.52%
1-30.27%
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