Alianza Lima at Fortaleza

Updated

Alianza Lima

7.7%16.1%76.3%
WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.57Projected Goals 2.29
1Final Score 2

Fortaleza

Last Games

Alianza Lima
Money Line
L 1-2 at Colo-Colo
L 1-0 vs River Plate
Fortaleza
Money Line
L 0-2 at River Plate

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alianza Lima+800+1100-+967+869-+1100+1005.6
Fortaleza-315-400--313-324--313-278.2
Draw+400+475-+442+419-+475+474.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alianza Lima-----+1005.6
Fortaleza------278.2
Draw-----+474.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alianza Lima: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alianza Lima: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alianza Lima: 30.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Alianza Lima ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2¾-112-o2½-131--o2½-131o2¾-104
Underu2¾-108u2¾-108-u2½+116--u2¾-108u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.3%
 
No60.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.70%
Exactly 223.39%
Exactly 416.00%
Exactly 64.38%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.33%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.16%
Exactly 71.79%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Alianza Lima
Exactly 056.32%
Exactly 132.34%
Exactly 29.28%
Exactly 31.78%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 010.12%
Exactly 123.18%
Exactly 226.55%
Exactly 320.27%
Exactly 411.61%
Exactly 55.32%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 70.66%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.54%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 310.32%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alianza Lima
Exactly 076.66%
Exactly 120.38%
Exactly 22.71%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 034.63%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.47%
Exactly 36.88%
Exactly 41.83%
Exactly 50.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alianza Lima
Wins by 2+ goals1.68%
Wins by 3+ goals0.26%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals52.48%
Wins by 3+ goals29.80%
Wins by 4+ goals14.09%
Wins by 5+ goals5.64%
Wins by 6+ goals1.92%
Wins by 7+ goals0.54%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Alianza Lima
Fortaleza
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Alianza Lima
Wins by 1 goal5.95%
Wins by 2 goals1.42%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal23.74%
Wins by 2 goals22.69%
Wins by 3 goals15.70%
Wins by 4 goals8.46%
Wins by 5 goals3.72%
Wins by 6 goals1.38%
Wins by 7 goals0.44%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.30%5.70%
1.577.97%22.03%
2.554.59%45.41%
3.532.25%67.75%
4.516.26%83.74%
5.57.09%92.91%
6.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Alianza Lima Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.68%56.32%
1.511.35%88.65%
2.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.88%10.12%
1.566.70%33.30%
2.540.15%59.85%
3.519.88%80.12%
4.58.27%91.73%
5.52.95%97.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.46%26.54%
1.538.25%61.75%
2.514.90%85.10%
3.54.58%95.42%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alianza Lima
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
5.70%
13.06%
14.95%
11.42%
6.54%
3.00%
1
3.27%
7.50%
8.59%
6.56%
3.75%
1.72%
2
0.94%
2.15%
2.46%
1.88%
1.08%
0.49%
3
0.18%
0.41%
0.47%
0.36%
0.21%
0.09%
Alianza Lima
1-03.27%
2-00.94%
2-12.15%
3-00.18%
3-10.41%
3-20.47%
Draw
0-05.70%
1-17.50%
2-22.46%
3-30.36%
Fortaleza
0-113.06%
0-214.95%
1-28.59%
0-311.42%
1-36.56%
2-31.88%
0-46.54%
1-43.75%
2-41.08%
3-40.21%
0-53.00%
1-51.72%
2-50.49%

Correct Score - First Half

Alianza Lima
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
26.54%
28.15%
14.93%
5.28%
1.40%
0.30%
1
7.06%
7.48%
3.97%
1.40%
0.37%
0.08%
2
0.94%
0.99%
0.53%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Alianza Lima
1-07.06%
2-00.94%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-026.54%
1-17.48%
2-20.53%
Fortaleza
0-128.15%
0-214.93%
1-23.97%
0-35.28%
1-31.40%
2-30.19%
0-41.40%
1-40.37%
0-50.30%