Independiente at Palmeiras

Updated

Independiente

9.1%16.0%75.0%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.40
1Final Score 2

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
L 0-2 at San Lorenzo+290
L 3-2 vs Palmeiras+120
W 0-2 vs San Lorenzo-155
T 1-1 at Liverpool-105
T 1-1 vs Pereira-290
Palmeiras
Money Line
W 5-0 at Liverpool-210
W 3-2 at Independiente+200
W 1-3 vs Liverpool
T 1-1 at San Lorenzo
L 4-2 vs Boca Juniors-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+715+703+650+800+786+800+800+845.0
Palmeiras-227-243-265-290-293-290-243-242.7
Draw+348+383+390+412+396+412+412+437.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+660---+660-+660+845.0
Palmeiras-325----325--325-242.7
Draw+335---+335-+335+437.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-137o2½-129o2¾-110o2¾-105o2¾-104o2¾-105o2½-129o2¾+104
Underu2½+115u2½+109u2¾-120u2¾-115u2¾-116u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140---o2½-135-o2½-135o2¾+104
Underu2½+110---u2½+105-u2½+105u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.48%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 417.36%
Exactly 65.58%
Exactly 80.96%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.92%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.78%
Exactly 72.48%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 049.37%
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 212.30%
Exactly 32.89%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 09.08%
Exactly 121.78%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 70.82%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.75%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 072.12%
Exactly 123.57%
Exactly 23.85%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 032.93%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals2.30%
Wins by 3+ goals0.42%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals52.05%
Wins by 3+ goals30.14%
Wins by 4+ goals14.64%
Wins by 5+ goals6.04%
Wins by 6+ goals2.12%
Wins by 7+ goals0.62%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal6.70%
Wins by 2 goals1.88%
Wins by 3 goals0.37%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal22.82%
Wins by 2 goals21.91%
Wins by 3 goals15.50%
Wins by 4 goals8.61%
Wins by 5 goals3.92%
Wins by 6 goals1.51%
Wins by 7 goals0.49%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.52%4.48%
1.581.60%18.40%
2.560.00%40.00%
3.537.63%62.37%
4.520.27%79.73%
5.59.49%90.51%
6.53.91%96.09%
7.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.63%49.37%
1.515.78%84.22%
2.53.49%96.51%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.92%9.08%
1.569.14%30.86%
2.543.01%56.99%
3.522.12%77.88%
4.59.58%90.42%
5.53.56%96.44%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.25%23.75%
1.542.11%57.89%
2.517.57%82.43%
3.55.81%94.19%
4.51.58%98.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
4.48%
10.75%
12.90%
10.32%
6.19%
2.97%
1
3.16%
7.59%
9.11%
7.28%
4.37%
2.10%
2
1.12%
2.68%
3.21%
2.57%
1.54%
0.74%
3
0.26%
0.63%
0.76%
0.60%
0.36%
0.17%
Independiente
1-03.16%
2-01.12%
2-12.68%
3-00.26%
3-10.63%
3-20.76%
Draw
0-04.48%
1-17.59%
2-23.21%
3-30.60%
Palmeiras
0-110.75%
0-212.90%
1-29.11%
0-310.32%
1-37.28%
2-32.57%
0-46.19%
1-44.37%
2-41.54%
3-40.36%
0-52.97%
1-52.10%
2-50.74%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
23.75%
26.38%
14.65%
5.43%
1.51%
0.33%
1
7.76%
8.62%
4.79%
1.77%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.27%
1.41%
0.78%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-07.76%
2-01.27%
2-11.41%
3-00.14%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-023.75%
1-18.62%
2-20.78%
Palmeiras
0-126.38%
0-214.65%
1-24.79%
0-35.43%
1-31.77%
2-30.29%
0-41.51%
1-40.49%
0-50.33%
1-50.11%