Santos at Boca Juniors

Updated

Santos

25.8%27.9%46.2%
Santos WinDrawBoca Juniors Win
0.76Projected Goals 1.37
0Final Score 2

Boca Juniors

Last Games

Santos
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Barcelona SC-130
T 2-2 vs San Lorenzo+135
W 3-1 at San Lorenzo+250
Boca Juniors
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos+534+566+575+580+549+580+580-
Boca Juniors-204-191-190-200-193-200-190-
Draw+318+313+320+290+304+290+320-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos+650----+650+650-
Boca Juniors-200-----200-200-
Draw+290----+295+295-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santos: 50.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santos: 0.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santos ML
No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Santos: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santos: 50.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santos: 40.0%
Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santos ML
No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-127o2¼-123o2½+105o2¼-112-o2¼-112o2¼-112-
Underu2¼-105u2¼+100u2½-125u2¼-108-u2¼-108u2½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.8%
 
No60.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.88%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 410.19%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.31%
Exactly 319.14%
Exactly 54.34%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 046.60%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 213.59%
Exactly 33.46%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 025.50%
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 310.85%
Exactly 43.71%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.29%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.96%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 070.22%
Exactly 124.83%
Exactly 24.39%
Exactly 30.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 053.11%
Exactly 133.61%
Exactly 210.63%
Exactly 32.24%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals6.20%
Wins by 3+ goals1.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals24.79%
Wins by 3+ goals9.30%
Wins by 4+ goals2.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Santos
Boca Juniors
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Santos
Wins by 1 goal14.71%
Wins by 2 goals4.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal26.32%
Wins by 2 goals15.49%
Wins by 3 goals6.52%
Wins by 4 goals2.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.12%11.88%
1.562.81%37.19%
2.535.85%64.15%
3.516.71%83.29%
4.56.52%93.48%
5.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.40%46.60%
1.517.82%82.18%
2.54.23%95.77%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.50%25.50%
1.539.66%60.34%
2.515.85%84.15%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.71%37.29%
1.525.92%74.08%
2.57.78%92.22%
3.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Santos
Boca Juniors
Score012345
0
11.88%
16.24%
11.09%
5.05%
1.73%
0.47%
1
9.07%
12.40%
8.47%
3.86%
1.32%
0.36%
2
3.46%
4.73%
3.23%
1.47%
0.50%
0.14%
3
0.88%
1.21%
0.82%
0.38%
0.13%
0.04%
4
0.17%
0.23%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Santos
1-09.07%
2-03.46%
2-14.73%
3-00.88%
3-11.21%
3-20.82%
4-00.17%
4-10.23%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-011.88%
1-112.40%
2-23.23%
3-30.38%
Boca Juniors
0-116.24%
0-211.09%
1-28.47%
0-35.05%
1-33.86%
2-31.47%
0-41.73%
1-41.32%
2-40.50%
3-40.13%
0-50.47%
1-50.36%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Santos
Boca Juniors
Score01234
0
37.29%
23.60%
7.47%
1.57%
0.25%
1
13.19%
8.34%
2.64%
0.56%
0.09%
2
2.33%
1.48%
0.47%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.27%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Santos
1-013.19%
2-02.33%
2-11.48%
3-00.27%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-037.29%
1-18.34%
2-20.47%
Boca Juniors
0-123.60%
0-27.47%
1-22.64%
0-31.57%
1-30.56%
0-40.25%