Olimpia at Nacional

Updated

Olimpia

27.2%23.4%49.4%
Olimpia WinDrawNacional Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.76
1Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Olimpia
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Nacional+140
W 0-2 vs U Cesar Vallejo-260
W 1-0 at U Cesar Vallejo-105
L 1-5 at Flamengo+1400
L 4-1 vs Flamengo+650
Nacional
Money Line
L 1-3 at Olimpia+205
L 0-2 at Univ Catolica+185
L 0-1 at Argentinos Jun+340
T 0-0 vs Nacional-150
L 2-0 vs Argentinos Jun+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Olimpia+360+450+425-+450+425+450+456.7
Nacional-130-175-160--184-160-160-150.4
Draw+235+335+340-+334+340+340+355.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Olimpia+500----+490+490+456.7
Nacional-185-----185-185-150.4
Draw+320----+330+330+355.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Olimpia: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Olimpia: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Olimpia: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Olimpia ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Olimpia: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Olimpia: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Olimpia: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Olimpia ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2¾-114o2¾-117--o2¾-117o2¾-114o2¾-104
Underu2¼-115u2¾+100u2¾-103--u2¾-103u2¾+100u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.2%
 
No40.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.89%
Exactly 222.28%
Exactly 416.90%
Exactly 65.13%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.77%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.20%
Exactly 72.21%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Olimpia
Exactly 028.58%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 39.36%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 017.12%
Exactly 130.22%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 315.68%
Exactly 46.92%
Exactly 52.44%
Exactly 60.72%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.73%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 311.24%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Olimpia
Exactly 055.99%
Exactly 132.47%
Exactly 29.42%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 044.17%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 214.74%
Exactly 34.02%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Olimpia
Wins by 2+ goals11.25%
Wins by 3+ goals3.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals26.96%
Wins by 3+ goals11.93%
Wins by 4+ goals4.35%
Wins by 5+ goals1.32%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Olimpia
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Olimpia
Wins by 1 goal15.91%
Wins by 2 goals7.57%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal22.42%
Wins by 2 goals15.04%
Wins by 3 goals7.58%
Wins by 4 goals3.03%
Wins by 5 goals1.00%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.11%4.89%
1.580.34%19.66%
2.558.07%41.93%
3.535.66%64.34%
4.518.76%81.24%
5.58.57%91.43%
6.53.44%96.56%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Olimpia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.42%28.58%
1.535.63%64.37%
2.513.21%86.79%
3.53.85%96.15%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.88%17.12%
1.552.66%47.34%
2.525.99%74.01%
3.510.31%89.69%
4.53.39%96.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.27%24.73%
1.540.71%59.29%
2.516.58%83.42%
3.55.34%94.66%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Olimpia
Nacional
Score012345
0
4.89%
8.64%
7.62%
4.48%
1.98%
0.70%
1
6.13%
10.82%
9.54%
5.61%
2.48%
0.87%
2
3.84%
6.77%
5.98%
3.52%
1.55%
0.55%
3
1.60%
2.83%
2.50%
1.47%
0.65%
0.23%
4
0.50%
0.89%
0.78%
0.46%
0.20%
0.07%
5
0.13%
0.22%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Olimpia
1-06.13%
2-03.84%
2-16.77%
3-01.60%
3-12.83%
3-22.50%
4-00.50%
4-10.89%
4-20.78%
4-30.46%
5-00.13%
5-10.22%
5-20.20%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-04.89%
1-110.82%
2-25.98%
3-31.47%
4-40.20%
Nacional
0-18.64%
0-27.62%
1-29.54%
0-34.48%
1-35.61%
2-33.52%
0-41.98%
1-42.48%
2-41.55%
3-40.65%
0-50.70%
1-50.87%
2-50.55%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Olimpia
Nacional
Score01234
0
24.73%
20.21%
8.26%
2.25%
0.46%
1
14.34%
11.72%
4.79%
1.30%
0.27%
2
4.16%
3.40%
1.39%
0.38%
0.08%
3
0.80%
0.66%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Olimpia
1-014.34%
2-04.16%
2-13.40%
3-00.80%
3-10.66%
3-20.27%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-024.73%
1-111.72%
2-21.39%
Nacional
0-120.21%
0-28.26%
1-24.79%
0-32.25%
1-31.30%
2-30.38%
0-40.46%
1-40.27%