Atletico Mineiro at Cerro Porteno

Updated 1265 days ago

12:00 AM • May 20, 2021

Atletico Mineiro

60.9%17.8%21.2%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawCerro Porteno Win

2.25Projected Goals 0.79

1Final Score 0

Cerro Porteno

Last 3 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 3-1	5/14 at AD Cali	-145
W 0-4	5/04 vs Cerro Porteno	-240
W 1-2	4/27 vs AD Cali	-275

Cerro Porteno		Money Line
W 1-0	5/13 at Deportivo La Guaira	+100
L 0-4	5/04 at Atletico Mineiro	+625
T 0-0	4/28 vs Deportivo La Guaira	-350

Money Line Analysis

:3.6%:6.2%

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+139	+135	+115	+130	+126	+130	+135	-
Cerro Porteno	+189	+205	+210	+200	+204	+200	+210	-
Draw	+228	+234	+245	+231	+247	+231	+247	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+120	-	-	-	-	+130	+130	-
Cerro Porteno	+225	-	-	-	-	+200	+200	-
Draw	+240	-	-	-	-	+240	+240	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Cerro Porteno: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.3%

	Open Line	Bookmaker	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-112	o2½-109	o2½-105	o2½-102	-	o2½-102	o2½-102	-
Under	u2½-118	u2½-112	u2½-115	u2½-118	-	u2½-118	u2½-112	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	48.7%


No	51.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	4.77%
Exactly 2	22.09%
Exactly 4	17.03%
Exactly 6	5.25%
Exactly 8	0.87%


Exactly 1	14.52%
Exactly 3	22.40%
Exactly 5	10.36%
Exactly 7	2.28%
Exactly 9	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	10.48%
Exactly 1	23.64%
Exactly 2	26.66%
Exactly 3	20.05%
Exactly 4	11.30%
Exactly 5	5.10%
Exactly 6	1.92%
Exactly 7	0.62%
Exactly 8	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 0	45.56%
Exactly 1	35.82%
Exactly 2	14.08%
Exactly 3	3.69%
Exactly 4	0.73%
Exactly 5	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	24.45%
Exactly 2	24.25%
Exactly 4	4.01%
Exactly 6	0.27%


Exactly 1	34.44%
Exactly 3	11.39%
Exactly 5	1.13%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	35.19%
Exactly 1	36.75%
Exactly 2	19.19%
Exactly 3	6.68%
Exactly 4	1.74%
Exactly 5	0.36%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 0	69.49%
Exactly 1	25.29%
Exactly 2	4.60%
Exactly 3	0.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	47.01%
Wins by 3+ goals	25.89%
Wins by 4+ goals	11.92%
Wins by 5+ goals	4.65%

Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals	3.27%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.70%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Cerro Porteno

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	23.60%
Wins by 2 goals	21.12%
Wins by 3 goals	13.98%
Wins by 4 goals	7.27%
Wins by 5 goals	3.10%

Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal	8.22%
Wins by 2 goals	2.56%
Wins by 3 goals	0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	95.23%	4.77%
1.5	80.70%	19.30%
2.5	58.61%	41.39%
3.5	36.21%	63.79%
4.5	19.18%	80.82%
5.5	8.82%	91.18%
6.5	3.57%	96.43%
7.5	1.28%	98.72%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.52%	10.48%
1.5	65.88%	34.12%
2.5	39.22%	60.78%
3.5	19.17%	80.83%
4.5	7.87%	92.13%
5.5	2.77%	97.23%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	54.44%	45.56%
1.5	18.63%	81.37%
2.5	4.55%	95.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	75.55%	24.45%
1.5	41.11%	58.89%
2.5	16.85%	83.15%
3.5	5.47%	94.53%
4.5	1.46%	98.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Cerro Porteno

Score	0	1	2	3
0	4.77%	3.75%	1.48%	0.39%
1	10.77%	8.47%	3.33%	0.87%
2	12.15%	9.55%	3.75%	0.98%
3	9.13%	7.18%	2.82%	0.74%
4	5.15%	4.05%	1.59%	0.42%
5	2.32%	1.83%	0.72%	0.19%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	10.77%
2-0	12.15%
2-1	9.55%
3-0	9.13%
3-1	7.18%
3-2	2.82%
4-0	5.15%
4-1	4.05%
4-2	1.59%
4-3	0.42%
5-0	2.32%
5-1	1.83%
5-2	0.72%
5-3	0.19%

Draw
0-0	4.77%
1-1	8.47%
2-2	3.75%
3-3	0.74%

Cerro Porteno
0-1	3.75%
0-2	1.48%
1-2	3.33%
0-3	0.39%
1-3	0.87%
2-3	0.98%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Cerro Porteno

Score	0	1	2	3
0	24.45%	8.90%	1.62%	0.20%
1	25.54%	9.30%	1.69%	0.21%
2	13.34%	4.85%	0.88%	0.11%
3	4.64%	1.69%	0.31%	0.04%
4	1.21%	0.44%	0.08%	0.01%
5	0.25%	0.09%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	25.54%
2-0	13.34%
2-1	4.85%
3-0	4.64%
3-1	1.69%
3-2	0.31%
4-0	1.21%
4-1	0.44%
5-0	0.25%

Draw
0-0	24.45%
1-1	9.30%
2-2	0.88%

Cerro Porteno
0-1	8.90%
0-2	1.62%
1-2	1.69%
0-3	0.20%
1-3	0.21%
2-3	0.11%

La Calera at Velez Sarsf

LDU de Quito at Flamengo

Atletico Mineiro at Cerro Porteno