Independiente at Defensa y Just

Updated

Independiente

38.8%27.1%34.1%
Independiente WinDrawDefensa y Just Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.16
1Final Score 1

Defensa y Just

Last Games

Independiente
Money Line
L 2-3 at Universitario-200
L 1-0 vs Palmeiras+115
W 0-4 vs Universitario-765
L 0-5 at Palmeiras+480
W 2-1 at Gremio+425
Defensa y Just
Money Line
W 4-3 at Palmeiras+270
T 1-1 at Universitario-160
L 2-1 vs Palmeiras+470
W 0-3 vs Universitario-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+187+169+180+178+173+178+180-
Defensa y Just+140+166+150+152+149+152+166-
Draw+240+231+230+220+244+220+244-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+175----+175+175-
Defensa y Just+150----+160+160-
Draw+240----+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Defensa y Just: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 20.0%
Defensa y Just: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Defensa y Just: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Defensa y Just ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Defensa y Just: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 20.0%
Defensa y Just: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Defensa y Just: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Defensa y Just ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½-104o2½-105o2½-107-o2½-107o2½-104-
Underu2½-125u2½-116u2½-115u2½-113-u2½-113u2½-113-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.45%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 413.13%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.88%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 56.49%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 026.83%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 223.22%
Exactly 310.18%
Exactly 43.35%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Defensa y Just
Exactly 031.50%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.02%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.85%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.95%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 054.38%
Exactly 133.13%
Exactly 210.09%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Defensa y Just
Exactly 058.57%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 28.38%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals18.25%
Wins by 3+ goals6.45%
Wins by 4+ goals1.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
Defensa y Just
Wins by 2+ goals13.28%
Wins by 3+ goals4.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Defensa y Just
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal22.00%
Wins by 2 goals11.80%
Wins by 3 goals4.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Defensa y Just
Wins by 1 goal19.32%
Wins by 2 goals9.10%
Wins by 3 goals3.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.55%8.45%
1.570.67%29.33%
2.544.87%55.13%
3.523.62%76.38%
4.510.50%89.50%
5.54.01%95.99%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.17%26.83%
1.537.87%62.13%
2.514.65%85.35%
3.54.47%95.53%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Defensa y Just Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.50%31.50%
1.532.11%67.89%
2.511.10%88.90%
3.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.15%31.85%
1.531.71%68.29%
2.510.86%89.14%
3.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Defensa y Just
Score012345
0
8.45%
9.76%
5.64%
2.17%
0.63%
0.14%
1
11.12%
12.84%
7.42%
2.86%
0.83%
0.19%
2
7.31%
8.45%
4.88%
1.88%
0.54%
0.13%
3
3.21%
3.71%
2.14%
0.82%
0.24%
0.06%
4
1.05%
1.22%
0.70%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.28%
0.32%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-011.12%
2-07.31%
2-18.45%
3-03.21%
3-13.71%
3-22.14%
4-01.05%
4-11.22%
4-20.70%
4-30.27%
5-00.28%
5-10.32%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-08.45%
1-112.84%
2-24.88%
3-30.82%
Defensa y Just
0-19.76%
0-25.64%
1-27.42%
0-32.17%
1-32.86%
2-31.88%
0-40.63%
1-40.83%
2-40.54%
3-40.24%
0-50.14%
1-50.19%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Defensa y Just
Score01234
0
31.85%
17.04%
4.56%
0.81%
0.11%
1
19.40%
10.38%
2.78%
0.49%
0.07%
2
5.91%
3.16%
0.85%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.20%
0.64%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.18%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Independiente
1-019.40%
2-05.91%
2-13.16%
3-01.20%
3-10.64%
3-20.17%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-031.85%
1-110.38%
2-20.85%
Defensa y Just
0-117.04%
0-24.56%
1-22.78%
0-30.81%
1-30.49%
2-30.15%
0-40.11%
Nacional at Univ Catolica
Universitario at Palmeiras