Aragua at Gremio

Updated

Aragua

11.0%12.5%76.5%
WinDrawGremio Win
0.35Projected Goals 2.45
0Final Score 8

Gremio

Last Games

Aragua
Money Line
L 1-2 at La Equidad+620
Gremio
Money Line
W 2-1 at Lanus+155
W 1-2 vs La Equidad-290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aragua+1200-+2300+1700+2450+1700+2450-
Gremio-600--1400-1250-1149-1250-1149-
Draw+500-+775+730+889+730+889-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aragua------
Gremio------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aragua: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aragua: 40.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aragua: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aragua: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Aragua ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120-o3-150o3¼+105-o3¼+105o3¼+105-
Underu3-110-u3+115u3¼-125-u3¼-125u3+115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes27.1%
 
No72.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.07%
Exactly 223.82%
Exactly 415.59%
Exactly 64.08%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.00%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.74%
Exactly 71.63%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Aragua
Exactly 070.32%
Exactly 124.76%
Exactly 24.36%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 08.63%
Exactly 121.14%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 412.96%
Exactly 56.35%
Exactly 62.59%
Exactly 70.91%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.32%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 39.95%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aragua
Exactly 084.96%
Exactly 113.85%
Exactly 21.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 032.16%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 37.83%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aragua
Wins by 2+ goals0.53%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals61.33%
Wins by 3+ goals37.28%
Wins by 4+ goals18.91%
Wins by 5+ goals8.11%
Wins by 6+ goals2.96%
Wins by 7+ goals0.90%
Wins by 8+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Aragua
Gremio
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Aragua
Wins by 1 goal3.19%
Wins by 2 goals0.48%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal22.27%
Wins by 2 goals24.05%
Wins by 3 goals18.37%
Wins by 4 goals10.80%
Wins by 5 goals5.15%
Wins by 6 goals2.06%
Wins by 7 goals0.71%
Wins by 8 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.93%6.07%
1.576.93%23.07%
2.553.11%46.89%
3.530.86%69.14%
4.515.27%84.73%
5.56.53%93.47%
6.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Aragua Over/Under

OverUnder
0.529.68%70.32%
1.54.92%95.08%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.37%8.63%
1.570.23%29.77%
2.544.33%55.67%
3.523.18%76.82%
4.510.23%89.77%
5.53.88%96.12%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.68%27.32%
1.537.23%62.77%
2.514.23%85.77%
3.54.28%95.72%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aragua
Gremio
Score01234
0
6.07%
14.87%
18.21%
14.87%
9.11%
1
2.14%
5.23%
6.41%
5.24%
3.21%
2
0.38%
0.92%
1.13%
0.92%
0.56%
Aragua
1-02.14%
2-00.38%
2-10.92%
Draw
0-06.07%
1-15.23%
2-21.13%
3-30.11%
Gremio
0-114.87%
0-218.21%
1-26.41%
0-314.87%
1-35.24%
2-30.92%
0-49.11%
1-43.21%
2-40.56%

Correct Score - First Half

Aragua
Gremio
Score012345
0
27.32%
31.00%
17.58%
6.65%
1.89%
0.43%
1
4.45%
5.05%
2.87%
1.08%
0.31%
0.07%
2
0.36%
0.41%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Aragua
1-04.45%
2-00.36%
2-10.41%
Draw
0-027.32%
1-15.05%
2-20.23%
Gremio
0-131.00%
0-217.58%
1-22.87%
0-36.65%
1-31.08%
0-41.89%
1-40.31%
0-50.43%
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